Space Vault
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$215.00
Advertised RTP
85.17%
EV $183.11 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.44%
194 openings, odds method
Variance
0.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 194 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/647416, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.17%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $215 | 85.17% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 5.3%covert 28.2%gold 4.3%restricted 22.1%extraordinary 10.8%sunny 1.8%Covert 2.2%red 2.6%#8847ff 2.6%Immortal 2.7%pink 5.8%#ffd700 3.3%covert knife 3.8%violet 4.3%best hit $561 (2.61x)