Eagle
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$750.00
Advertised RTP
86.63%
EV $649.71 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
103.30%
60 openings, odds method
Variance
3.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 10
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 60 openings and 6.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 60 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/761279, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.63%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $750 | 86.63% | 35 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 19.5%legendary 3.6%extraordinary 14.0%classified 32.3%remarkable 2.0%Covert 2.2%gold 2.0%#ffd700 0.9%restricted 19.1%mil spec 4.4%best hit $13.6K (18.19x)