ZaMocnoSkuty
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$105.00
Advertised RTP
88.84%
EV $93.28 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
77.97%
290 openings, odds method
Variance
3.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 290 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/809560, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.84%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $105 | 88.84% | 24 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 5.8%#ffd700 1.8%extraordinary 5.5%gold 0.5%restricted 19.4%sunny 6.0%Immortal 3.9%red 5.8%mil spec 32.1%#eb4b4b 5.0%classified 1.1%#4b69ff 1.5%#87c7ff 11.7%best hit $1,467 (13.97x)