Medusa
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$380.00
Advertised RTP
86.55%
EV $328.88 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
94.06%
132 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 132 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/815260, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.55%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $380 | 86.55% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 57.1%legendary 0.2%classified 5.2%epic 0.3%#ffd700 3.5%gold 2.7%extraordinary 26.6%sunny 4.3%best hit $5,413 (14.24x)