BYALI
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
88.92%
EV $8.89 from 45 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.70%
2,459 openings, odds method
Variance
5.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 16
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,459 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/853204, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.92% | 45 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.4%restricted 14.6%red 1.2%classified 11.1%pink 3.3%Immortal 0.1%Covert 0.1%extraordinary 0.3%Ancient 0.4%mil spec 0.9%Classified 0.5%#d32ce6 0.8%#d32ee6 2.4%Legendary 6.7%Mythical 9.3%#8847ff 15.2%violet 31.6%best hit $666 (66.60x)