Glock-18

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$2.51
Advertised RTP
91.74%
EV $2.30 from 151 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.46%
1,897 openings, odds method
Variance
7.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
76.07%±30.15266 openings
7 days
88.53%±15.341,056 openings
30 days
92.46%±11.701,897 openings
since tracking started
92.46%±11.701,897 openings
45.5%76.3%107.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h26676.07%±30.1−1.0σodds
7d1,05688.53%±15.3−0.3σodds
30d1,89792.46%±11.7+0.2σodds
All1,89792.46%±11.7+0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values151 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,897 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Glock-18 | Groundwater (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 7,143$1681.0%10.3—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 5,000$1451.3%00.4—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 10,000$1430.6%10.2—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$1300.9%00.3—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 5,556$1241.0%00.3—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 10,000$1230.5%00.2—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 9,091$1210.6%10.2—
Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 6,667$1200.8%00.3—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,263$1161.0%10.4—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 5,556$1140.9%00.3—
Glock-18 | Franklin (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 8,333$1110.6%00.2—
Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 5,882$1070.8%00.3—
Glock-18 | Franklin (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 7,692$1040.6%20.2—
Glock-18 | Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 8,333$88.480.5%00.2—
Glock-18 | Franklin (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 8,333$83.950.4%00.2—
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 10,000$79.850.3%00.2—
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 5,263$65.720.5%00.4—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,000$63.600.6%00.4—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,000$62.860.5%00.4—
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 5,882$60.920.5%00.3—
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 7,692$58.520.3%00.2—
Glock-18 | Reactor (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 5,000$57.390.5%00.4—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 6,667$56.410.4%00.3—
Glock-18 | Brass (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 5,556$52.590.4%00.3—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b1 in 5,882$51.000.4%10.3—
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 8,333$42.140.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 8,333$41.820.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 9,091$41.200.2%00.2—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 5,263$39.700.3%00.4—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 7,692$38.630.2%10.2—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,263$38.440.3%00.4—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,556$37.920.3%00.3—
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 10,000$37.360.2%10.2—
Glock-18 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 5,556$37.020.3%00.3—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 7,143$35.430.2%00.3—
Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 5,000$35.150.3%00.4—
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 9,091$34.260.2%00.2—
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 8,333$34.050.2%10.2—
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 7,143$34.040.2%00.3—
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 5,263$31.570.3%00.4—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,250$27.440.2%00.3—
Glock-18 | Brass (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted1 in 5,000$25.590.2%00.4—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,556$23.840.2%00.3—
Glock-18 | AXIA (Well-Worn)weapon · rare1 in 10,000$21.910.1%10.2—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,250$21.890.2%00.3—
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee61 in 8,333$21.700.1%00.2—
Glock-18 | AXIA (Field-Tested)weapon · rare1 in 6,667$21.050.1%00.3—
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 9,091$20.690.1%10.2—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,882$20.610.2%00.3—
Glock-18 | Reactor (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 8,333$19.570.1%10.2—
Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 5,000$19.150.2%00.4—
Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 5,000$18.720.2%00.4—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,882$17.390.1%00.3—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 5,000$16.320.1%00.4—
Glock-18 | Reactor (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 3,571$14.480.2%00.5—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 709$13.360.8%02.70.00×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 7,692$13.330.1%00.2—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 521$13.221.1%03.60.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,250$12.630.1%10.3—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 6,250$12.290.1%10.3—
Glock-18 | Reactor (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 1,493$11.510.3%21.31.57×
Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 1,111$10.680.4%61.73.51×
Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 498$8.800.8%63.81.57×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 385$8.360.9%64.91.22×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 345$8.201.0%45.50.73×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 694$7.510.5%32.71.10×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 758$7.480.4%42.51.60×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,316$7.310.2%71.44.85×
Glock-18 | Wraiths (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 375$7.210.8%55.10.99×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 442$7.100.7%64.31.40×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 893$7.020.3%42.11.88×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 267$6.971.1%27.10.28×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 6,667$6.400.0%140.3—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 161$6.241.7%1111.80.93×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 92$6.152.9%820.70.39×
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 122$6.052.2%2115.61.34×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 143$5.801.8%1013.20.75×
Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 91$4.792.3%2521.01.19×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 89$4.402.2%2121.40.98×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 99$4.141.8%2319.21.19×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 54$4.103.3%4235.11.20×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical1 in 72$4.062.4%2226.30.84×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 68$3.732.4%3228.01.14×
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 71$3.572.2%3826.61.43×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 59$2.852.1%5231.91.63×
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 43$2.732.7%4243.80.96×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Catacombs (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 40$2.512.7%2047.00.43×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 34$2.413.0%4955.10.89×
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 56$2.321.8%4533.91.33×
Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 63$2.111.5%3630.01.20×
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 83$2.091.1%3323.01.43×
Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 61$2.071.5%2830.90.91×
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 56$1.951.5%2934.00.85×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 97$1.860.8%2519.71.27×
Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 61$1.711.2%3231.21.03×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 72$1.681.0%2826.51.06×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 75$1.580.9%3125.41.22×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 76$1.570.9%1125.10.44×
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 98$1.550.7%1519.40.77×
Glock-18 | Night (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 118$1.500.6%1916.01.18×
Glock-18 | Night (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 117$1.500.6%4316.32.64×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 133$1.500.5%1214.20.84×
Glock-18 | Night (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial1 in 127$1.490.5%1915.01.27×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 155$1.480.4%1612.21.31×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 101$1.390.6%1518.80.80×
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec1 in 120$1.370.5%2115.91.32×
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 126$1.340.5%2315.11.52×
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 102$1.330.6%2418.71.29×
Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 121$1.290.5%2515.71.59×
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 160$1.290.4%2811.92.36×
Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 85$1.280.7%1722.20.77×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 114$1.200.5%2616.71.56×
Glock-18 | Wraiths (Minimal Wear)weapon · 11 in 86$1.180.6%2322.01.05×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Off World (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 77$1.120.6%2924.51.18×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Ironwork (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 58$1.110.8%2232.60.67×
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 75$1.070.6%3125.21.23×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 80$1.010.5%1323.70.55×
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Restricted1 in 74$0.970.6%2425.70.94×
Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 76$0.960.6%2725.11.08×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 93$0.940.4%2220.41.08×
Glock-18 | Catacombs (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 94$0.940.4%2020.30.99×
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 80$0.930.5%2923.71.23×
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 91$0.920.4%1820.80.87×
Glock-18 | Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 11 in 97$0.860.4%2119.61.07×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 82$0.810.4%2923.21.25×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 68$0.690.4%3628.01.29×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 58$0.680.5%3432.91.03×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 51$0.680.6%1836.90.49×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Ironwork (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 63$0.660.5%4430.01.47×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 61$0.610.4%1931.10.61×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Ironwork (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 58$0.610.5%3532.91.06×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 120$0.550.2%1915.81.20×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 82$0.520.3%2423.21.03×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Off World (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 84$0.510.3%1722.60.75×
Glock-18 | Wraiths (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 71$0.510.3%1426.90.52×
Glock-18 | Ironwork (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 72$0.500.3%2826.51.06×
Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 133$0.470.2%3014.22.11×
Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 141$0.460.1%1113.40.82×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Off World (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 100$0.450.2%2818.91.48×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Off World (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 100$0.450.2%418.90.21×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 78$0.400.2%1424.20.58×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 115$0.370.1%3016.51.82×
Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec1 in 94$0.370.2%1220.20.59×
Glock-18 | Sacrifice (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 123$0.360.1%2715.41.76×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 87$0.350.2%1321.80.60×
Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 128$0.330.1%3114.92.09×
Glock-18 | High Beam (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon1 in 93$0.270.1%020.40.00×
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade1 in 78$0.260.1%024.50.00×
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 68$0.200.1%027.80.00×
Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue1 in 80$0.170.1%023.60.00×
Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial1 in 105$0.150.1%018.10.00×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/glock, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.74%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$2.5191.74%151
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$2.5190.57%151
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$2.5191.10%151
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$2.5191.90%151
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$2.5190.83%151
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$2.5190.85%151
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$2.5191.41%151
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$2.5190.66%151
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$2.5191.51%151
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$2.5191.01%151
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$2.5190.53%151
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$2.5190.81%151
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$2.5191.14%151
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$2.5191.18%151
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$2.5189.75%151
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$2.5191.29%151
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$2.5190.21%151
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$2.5190.23%151
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$2.5191.79%151
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$2.5191.79%151
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$2.5191.04%151
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$2.5189.99%151
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$2.5190.89%151
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$2.5190.56%151
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$2.5190.24%151
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$2.5189.40%151
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$2.5190.58%151
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$2.5191.54%151
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$2.5191.29%151
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$2.5190.87%151
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 2.2%industrial 4.1%Covert 0.0%covert 0.3%restricted 11.9%classified 0.9%Mythical 4.3%mil spec 20.6%#eb4b4b 0.0%Ancient 0.0%violet 0.8%red 0.0%Restricted 4.5%rare 0.0%#d32ee6 1.0%pink 1.2%Legendary 2.9%milspec 19.8%blue 0.3%#4b69ff 4.6%Mil Spec 1.7%Mil Spec Grade 3.9%#8847ff 6.1%Industrial Grade 2.1%Rare 4.4%Uncommon 1.1%light blue 1.2%best hit $144 (57.21x)