gambatracker
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Big wins
The Count$1,9073.18xSweet Bonanza 1000$1,1882.98xJapanese Platinum Private Blackjack 1$2,4021.33xDice$2,5002.00xSpeed Baccarat 1$2,0032.00xThe Dog House Megaways™ 1000$1,4344.07xHot to Burn$1,00010.00xDice$2,5002.00xSuck$942188.6xKorean Super Speed Baccarat$1,9531.95xVIP Blackjack 11 - Ruby$2,7861.67xSweet Bonanza 1000$1,16719.52xLotus Sic Bo$4,0042.00xCases$3,6592.58xBlackjack Classic Ru 4$6,4062.00xMerge Up$1,5349.59xKeno$1,95013.00xKeno$1,0005.00xDoom of Egypt$2,728341.0xRed Door Roulette$4,2592.13xMONOPOLY Big Baller$2,20211.00xWanted Dead or a Wild$1,0744.82xInstant Roulette$3,4562.88xHilo$2,9001.45x

Collection 2013

A case on GGDROP (annual-collections), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$4.49
Advertised RTP
92.07%
EV $4.13 from 61 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.77%
773 openings, odds method
Variance
2.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
78.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
45 openings · below min
7 days
89.87%±12.74591 openings
30 days
89.77%±10.99773 openings
since tracking started
89.77%±10.99773 openings
47.5%95.0%142.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4594.91%±46.8—odds
7d59189.87%±12.7−0.3σodds
30d77389.77%±11.0−0.4σodds
All77389.77%±11.0−0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values61 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 773 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 5,263$2081.0%00.1—
★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 9,091$2050.5%00.1—
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 10,000$1990.5%00.1—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 5,000$1340.6%00.2—
M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$1340.5%00.1—
AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 5,000$1080.5%00.2—
P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 7,143$1020.3%00.1—
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$1010.4%00.1—
AWP | BOOM (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 6,250$98.540.4%00.1—
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 6,667$91.410.3%10.1—
M4A4 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 5,263$90.460.4%00.1—
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 5,000$89.620.4%00.2—
★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 7,692$87.200.3%00.1—
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 9,091$83.340.2%00.1—
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 5,263$79.820.4%00.1—
USP-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 5,000$79.440.4%00.2—
★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 10,000$75.450.2%00.1—
★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 8,333$75.300.2%10.1—
USP-S | Dark Water (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 5,000$66.760.3%00.2—
AWP | Redline (Well-Worn)weapon · Legendary1 in 5,263$56.380.3%00.1—
AWP | Redline (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 467$39.632.1%11.70.60×
P250 | Mehndi (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 5,000$16.850.1%30.2—
P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 935$16.630.4%20.8—
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 147$15.512.5%75.21.34×
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 162$15.112.3%24.80.42×
AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 5,263$14.840.1%40.1—
SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 125$13.552.6%66.20.97×
SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)weapon · Rare1 in 118$13.532.8%46.50.61×
Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 127$13.472.6%46.10.66×
FAMAS | Pulse (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 95$12.683.2%148.11.72×
Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 75$12.013.9%710.30.68×
FAMAS | Pulse (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 64$10.083.8%1212.20.99×
FAMAS | Doomkitty (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 47$8.864.5%1616.30.98×
FAMAS | Pulse (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 50$8.314.0%1215.40.78×
FAMAS | Doomkitty (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 35$6.954.8%1722.10.77×
P250 | Hive (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 40$6.514.0%1819.40.93×
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 31$4.753.8%2325.20.91×
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Doomkitty (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 28$4.383.7%3127.21.14×
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 30$4.263.4%2825.71.09×
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 26$4.063.7%2729.30.92×
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 43$3.642.1%1918.01.05×
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 45$3.221.7%2717.11.58×
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 47$3.211.7%1416.60.85×
P250 | Hive (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 44$3.131.7%1317.50.74×
SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 41$3.071.8%1518.80.80×
P250 | Hive (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 88$3.030.8%128.71.37×
Five-SeveN | Kami (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 51$2.941.4%1515.20.99×
Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 54$2.831.3%1114.40.76×
Five-SeveN | Kami (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 56$2.791.2%1913.81.38×
Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 34$2.701.9%2222.80.97×
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 36$2.251.5%2521.71.15×
Galil AR | Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 32$2.081.6%1923.90.79×
Galil AR | Sandstorm (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 29$2.011.7%2226.90.82×
StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec1 in 26$1.951.8%3030.20.99×
Galil AR | Sandstorm (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 31$1.891.5%2524.91.01×
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 32$1.831.4%1824.00.75×
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Sandstorm (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 28$1.771.5%2827.61.01×
M249 | Magma (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 23$1.411.5%4433.71.30×
M249 | Magma (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 18$1.241.7%5243.31.20×
M249 | Magma (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 16$1.191.8%5749.21.16×
StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec1 in 13$1.072.0%4659.50.77×
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/сollection2013, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
FAMAS | Doomkitty (Field-Tested)weapon · bluesewa$4.49$6.951.55x
StatTrak™ M249 | Magma (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚$4.49$1.070.24x
SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn)weapon · Rare𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚$4.49$13.553.02x
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specF1ashY$4.49$2.250.50x
M249 | Magma (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚$4.49$1.190.27x
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚$4.49$2.250.50x
FAMAS | Pulse (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚$4.49$10.092.25x
Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚$4.49$12.022.68x
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚$4.49$4.060.90x
PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚$4.49$2.250.50x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.07%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$4.4992.07%61
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$4.4992.00%61
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$4.4992.01%61
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$4.4992.00%61
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$4.4992.05%61
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$4.4992.00%61
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$4.4992.04%61
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$4.4992.00%61
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$4.4992.00%61
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$4.4992.00%61
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$4.4992.00%61
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$4.4992.00%61
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$4.4992.00%61
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$4.4992.10%61
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$4.4992.00%61
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$4.4992.00%61
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$4.4992.00%61
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$4.4992.00%61
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$4.4992.04%61
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$4.4992.00%61
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$4.4992.00%61
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$4.4992.10%61
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$4.4992.05%61
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$4.4992.00%61
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$4.4992.00%61
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$4.4992.00%61
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$4.4992.02%61
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$4.4991.99%61
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$4.4992.00%61
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$4.4992.00%61
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.1%covert knife 0.0%#d32ee6 0.0%restricted 5.2%classified 0.4%Legendary 0.0%#4b69ff 4.3%Rare 4.8%mil spec 42.0%Mythical 1.6%blue 7.2%milspec 11.5%Mil Spec Grade 11.3%Mil Spec 11.6%best hit —