Pets

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price

$0.60

Advertised RTP

92.00%

EV $0.55 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d

131.13%

8,581 openings, odds method

Variance

1.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

18.6%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

74.1%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

133.11%±7.45889 openings

7 days

129.44%±2.597,321 openings

30 days

131.13%±2.418,581 openings

since tracking started

131.13%±2.418,581 openings

91.5%116.3%141.0%

Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 92.01% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (128.72% – 133.54%, 8,581 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	889	133.11%±7.45	+10.8σ	odds
7d	7,321	129.44%±2.59	+28.3σ	odds
30d	8,581	131.13%±2.41	+31.8σ	odds
All	8,581	131.13%±2.41	+31.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,581 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$8.96	0.2%	4	1.3	3.11×
AWP \| PAW (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$7.15	0.2%	7	1.3	5.44×
M4A1-S \| Briefing (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 242	$6.93	5.2%	11	35.4	0.31×
USP-S \| Royal Guard (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 633	$5.20	1.5%	32	13.6	2.36×
AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 637	$4.76	1.4%	34	13.5	2.52×
M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 375	$4.09	2.0%	58	22.9	2.53×
Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 206	$3.48	3.1%	86	41.6	2.07×
AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 128	$2.84	4.0%	106	67.0	1.58×
AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 111	$2.36	3.8%	141	77.0	1.83×
M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 115	$1.80	2.8%	144	74.4	1.94×
Glock-18 \| Coral Bloom (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 73	$1.33	3.3%	215	117.9	1.82×
Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 46	$1.08	4.2%	261	184.8	1.41×
USP-S \| Torque (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 42	$1.07	4.6%	288	203.2	1.42×
P2000 \| Imperial (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 47	$1.03	3.9%	222	181.1	1.23×
AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 57	$0.98	3.1%	264	149.9	1.76×
M4A4 \| Converter (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 99	$0.90	1.7%	202	86.9	2.32×
Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 70	$0.89	2.3%	214	123.4	1.73×
Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 96	$0.89	1.7%	227	89.3	2.54×
M4A4 \| Zubastick (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 74	$0.89	2.2%	217	115.7	1.88×
Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 58	$0.84	2.6%	220	149.0	1.48×
Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 71	$0.75	1.9%	218	121.2	1.80×
SSG 08 \| Acid Fade (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 61	$0.71	2.1%	253	139.9	1.81×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 41	$0.70	3.1%	282	209.6	1.35×
AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 38	$0.58	2.8%	308	228.6	1.35×
Glock-18 \| Teal Graf (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 42	$0.53	2.3%	359	203.3	1.77×
Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 34	$0.49	2.6%	448	253.5	1.77×
CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 25	$0.45	3.3%	477	344.2	1.39×
FAMAS \| Snake Song (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 29	$0.42	2.6%	378	294.2	1.29×
MAC-10 \| Arabesque Mosaic (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 33	$0.41	2.3%	399	262.8	1.52×
AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Factory New)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 34	$0.37	2.0%	375	252.7	1.48×
AWP \| Arsenic Spill (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 36	$0.36	1.8%	381	240.6	1.58×
USP-S \| Silent Shot (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 37	$0.36	1.8%	395	234.0	1.69×
SG 553 \| Aloha (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 34	$0.34	1.8%	388	250.5	1.55×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 29	$0.32	2.0%	321	300.5	1.07×
AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 32	$0.31	1.7%	412	265.7	1.55×
M4A4 \| Naval Shred Camo (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 24	$0.27	2.0%	183	356.2	0.51×
USP-S \| PC-GRN (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 23	$0.27	2.1%	0	367.4	0.00×
AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 21	$0.19	1.7%	0	415.7	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Snow Splash (Factory New)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 18	$0.16	1.6%	51	468.4	0.11×
UMP-45 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 19	$0.16	1.5%	0	454.5	0.00×
M4A4 \| Mainframe (Minimal Wear)weapon · blueLight	1 in 16	$0.14	1.5%	0	521.8	0.00×
M4A4 \| Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 13	$0.12	1.6%	0	646.5	0.00×

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/pets, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)weapon · MythicalBuba$0.60$0.841.40x12m

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New)weapon · blueуьу$0.60$0.360.60x24m

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommonуьу$0.60$0.310.52x24m

M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New)weapon · #8847ffуьу$0.60$1.863.10x24m

M4A4 | Converter (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil specуьу$0.60$0.901.50x24m

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New)weapon · RareKakashi Hatake$0.60$0.520.87x40m

AWP | Arsenic Spill (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil SpecKakashi Hatake$0.60$0.360.60x40m

Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Factory New)weapon · blueKakashi Hatake$0.60$1.352.25x40m

AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · LegendaryKakashi Hatake$0.60$4.767.93x43m

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New)weapon · blueKakashi Hatake$0.60$0.330.55x43m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC	$0.60	92.10%	42
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC	$0.60	92.07%	42
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC	$0.60	92.04%	42
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC	$0.60	92.06%	42
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC	$0.60	92.05%	42
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC	$0.60	92.08%	42
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC	$0.60	92.01%	42
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC	$0.60	92.03%	42
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC	$0.60	92.08%	42
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC	$0.60	92.00%	42

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 0.9%Rare 10.0%Mythical 4.8%Legendary 0.4%#8847ff 1.6%blue 5.6%mil spec 10.7%#4b69ff 9.5%violet 1.4%milspec 9.2%#5e98d9 2.9%Mil Spec 2.8%Uncommon 25.5%industrial 8.4%blueLight 6.1%best hit —