Price
$6.99
Advertised RTP
92.03%
EV $6.43 from 66 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.10%
307 openings, odds method
Variance
1.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values66 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 307 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
ggdrop:api/case/solar-safari, 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.03%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.99 | 92.03% | 66 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $6.99 | 92.03% | 66 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $6.99 | 92.02% | 66 |
| 4 Nov, 04:46 UTC | $6.99 | 91.94% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $6.99 | 92.01% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 15:56 UTC | $6.99 | 92.05% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 09:34 UTC | $6.99 | 92.00% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 07:28 UTC | $6.99 | 92.00% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.99 | 91.90% | 66 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 30.7%red 0.4%covert 0.7%Covert 0.3%#eb4b4b 0.2%Legendary 3.6%rare 0.3%uncommon 0.5%pink 18.4%#d32ee6 2.6%Mythical 4.5%Classified 2.4%#8847ff 7.6%violet 6.6%restricted 13.2%Restricted 4.8%#d32ce6 3.3%best hit —