Adventurer

A case on Hellcase (discounts), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$1.76

Advertised RTP

88.01%

EV $1.55 from 160 items

Observed RTP, 30d

89.21%

12K openings, odds method

Variance

2.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

10.0%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

83.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

96.50%±13.76445 openings

7 days

89.77%±2.8810.9K openings

30 days

89.21%±2.7412K openings

since tracking started

89.21%±2.7412K openings

82.0%96.5%111.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	445	96.50%±13.8	+1.6σ	odds
7d	10.9K	89.77%±2.88	+1.4σ	odds
30d	12K	89.21%±2.74	+1.1σ	odds
All	12K	89.21%±2.74	+1.1σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values160 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 7,143	$44.82	0.4%	3	1.8	1.70×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$41.23	0.4%	4	2.0	1.98×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$40.56	0.4%	1	2.0	0.50×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 6,250	$40.20	0.4%	3	2.0	1.49×
USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 5,263	$32.75	0.4%	2	2.4	0.84×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 4,762	$30.97	0.4%	0	2.6	0.00×
P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 4,348	$27.48	0.4%	1	2.9	0.34×
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 4,167	$26.34	0.4%	2	3.0	0.66×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 4,167	$26.15	0.4%	5	3.0	1.65×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 4,167	$25.83	0.4%	4	3.0	1.32×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,167	$25.64	0.4%	3	3.0	0.99×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 4,000	$25.42	0.4%	3	3.2	0.95×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 4,000	$25.42	0.4%	2	3.2	0.63×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,333	$21.67	0.4%	8	3.8	2.12×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,226	$20.74	0.4%	3	3.9	0.77×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,226	$20.41	0.4%	5	3.9	1.28×
AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,941	$18.60	0.4%	6	4.3	1.40×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,778	$17.88	0.4%	4	4.5	0.88×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,778	$17.35	0.4%	5	4.5	1.10×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 2,703	$16.91	0.4%	9	4.7	1.93×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,564	$16.50	0.4%	5	4.9	1.02×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,564	$16.43	0.4%	7	4.9	1.42×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,564	$16.43	0.4%	6	4.9	1.22×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,500	$15.95	0.4%	8	5.0	1.59×
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 2,500	$15.58	0.4%	5	5.0	0.99×
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 2,174	$14.04	0.4%	5	5.8	0.86×
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 2,128	$13.55	0.4%	6	5.9	1.01×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,083	$13.50	0.4%	3	6.0	0.50×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,083	$13.28	0.4%	9	6.0	1.49×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,083	$13.27	0.4%	6	6.0	0.99×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,083	$13.26	0.4%	7	6.0	1.16×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,083	$13.17	0.4%	5	6.0	0.83×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 2,083	$13.10	0.4%	1	6.0	0.17×
AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 2,041	$12.86	0.4%	3	6.2	0.49×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,961	$12.49	0.4%	9	6.4	1.40×
AWP \| Mortis (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,923	$12.11	0.4%	6	6.6	0.92×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,852	$11.84	0.4%	7	6.8	1.03×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,852	$11.73	0.4%	8	6.8	1.18×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,786	$11.38	0.4%	5	7.1	0.71×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,786	$11.36	0.4%	7	7.1	0.99×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,786	$11.36	0.4%	7	7.1	0.99×
AWP \| Duality (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 1,786	$11.35	0.4%	7	7.1	0.99×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,786	$11.26	0.4%	7	7.1	0.99×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 1,695	$10.84	0.4%	10	7.4	1.34×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 1,613	$10.38	0.4%	4	7.8	0.51×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,613	$10.22	0.4%	12	7.8	1.54×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,562	$10.04	0.4%	6	8.1	0.74×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,538	$9.89	0.4%	9	8.2	1.10×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,538	$9.88	0.4%	5	8.2	0.61×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,515	$9.63	0.4%	9	8.3	1.08×
AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,449	$9.15	0.4%	5	8.7	0.57×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,429	$9.09	0.4%	14	8.8	1.59×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,429	$9.07	0.4%	10	8.8	1.13×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 1,408	$8.91	0.4%	4	8.9	0.45×
USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,389	$8.89	0.4%	5	9.1	0.55×
AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,389	$8.89	0.4%	10	9.1	1.10×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,408	$8.88	0.4%	5	8.9	0.56×
Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,370	$8.75	0.4%	6	9.2	0.65×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 1,370	$8.69	0.4%	10	9.2	1.09×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,351	$8.58	0.4%	9	9.3	0.96×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 1,299	$8.28	0.4%	9	9.7	0.93×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,299	$8.27	0.4%	11	9.7	1.13×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 1,250	$7.97	0.4%	10	10.1	0.99×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,235	$7.89	0.4%	14	10.2	1.37×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 1,250	$7.87	0.4%	12	10.1	1.19×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,235	$7.83	0.4%	4	10.2	0.39×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,235	$7.81	0.4%	16	10.2	1.57×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 1,190	$7.52	0.4%	10	10.6	0.94×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,163	$7.38	0.4%	13	10.8	1.20×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,163	$7.37	0.4%	11	10.8	1.01×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 1,136	$7.26	0.4%	8	11.1	0.72×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,149	$7.25	0.4%	14	11.0	1.28×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,099	$7.05	0.4%	13	11.5	1.13×
FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 1,099	$7.02	0.4%	7	11.5	0.61×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,111	$7.02	0.4%	10	11.3	0.88×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,099	$6.99	0.4%	11	11.5	0.96×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 1,087	$6.92	0.4%	14	11.6	1.21×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,087	$6.90	0.4%	11	11.6	0.95×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,087	$6.89	0.4%	11	11.6	0.95×
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,075	$6.84	0.4%	14	11.7	1.19×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,075	$6.81	0.4%	7	11.7	0.60×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,042	$6.65	0.4%	12	12.1	0.99×
AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified	1 in 1,010	$6.46	0.4%	7	12.5	0.56×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 1,010	$6.45	0.4%	13	12.5	1.04×
AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,000	$6.38	0.4%	15	12.6	1.19×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,000	$6.36	0.4%	12	12.6	0.95×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 952	$6.07	0.4%	15	13.2	1.13×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 943	$6.00	0.4%	16	13.4	1.20×
AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 935	$5.92	0.4%	10	13.5	0.74×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 917	$5.82	0.4%	12	13.7	0.87×
AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 909	$5.78	0.4%	21	13.9	1.51×
StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 840	$5.32	0.4%	12	15.0	0.80×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 820	$5.23	0.4%	16	15.4	1.04×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 800	$5.07	0.4%	18	15.8	1.14×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 794	$5.06	0.4%	9	15.9	0.57×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 775	$4.93	0.4%	23	16.3	1.41×
AWP \| Worm God (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 775	$4.91	0.4%	18	16.3	1.11×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 769	$4.91	0.4%	10	16.4	0.61×
AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 763	$4.87	0.4%	20	16.5	1.21×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 758	$4.83	0.4%	19	16.6	1.14×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 752	$4.78	0.4%	21	16.8	1.25×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 752	$4.78	0.4%	19	16.8	1.13×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 752	$4.78	0.4%	8	16.8	0.48×
AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 746	$4.74	0.4%	14	16.9	0.83×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 746	$4.74	0.4%	10	16.9	0.59×
USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 730	$4.64	0.4%	16	17.3	0.93×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 694	$4.42	0.4%	18	18.1	0.99×
AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 680	$4.33	0.4%	24	18.5	1.30×
AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 671	$4.28	0.4%	14	18.8	0.75×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 676	$4.27	0.4%	19	18.7	1.02×
AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 667	$4.25	0.4%	15	18.9	0.79×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 662	$4.22	0.4%	16	19.0	0.84×
AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 658	$4.17	0.4%	20	19.2	1.04×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 654	$4.15	0.4%	20	19.3	1.04×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 654	$4.15	0.4%	13	19.3	0.67×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 654	$4.13	0.4%	15	19.3	0.78×
USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified	1 in 645	$4.11	0.4%	26	19.5	1.33×
USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 637	$4.03	0.4%	23	19.8	1.16×
MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 633	$4.02	0.4%	27	19.9	1.36×
AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn)weapon · 4	1 in 629	$4.00	0.4%	20	20.0	1.00×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 625	$3.98	0.4%	20	20.2	0.99×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 625	$3.96	0.4%	21	20.2	1.04×
AUG \| Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 606	$3.85	0.4%	24	20.8	1.15×
AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 599	$3.81	0.4%	28	21.0	1.33×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 595	$3.78	0.4%	25	21.2	1.18×
AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 592	$3.75	0.4%	20	21.3	0.94×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 585	$3.71	0.4%	24	21.6	1.11×
AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 526	$3.34	0.4%	22	23.9	0.92×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 505	$3.21	0.4%	20	25.0	0.80×
AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 469	$2.98	0.4%	29	26.8	1.08×
AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 459	$2.92	0.4%	30	27.5	1.09×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 446	$2.84	0.4%	29	28.2	1.03×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 405	$2.57	0.4%	39	31.1	1.25×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 400	$2.55	0.4%	31	31.5	0.98×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 400	$2.54	0.4%	44	31.5	1.40×
Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 385	$2.45	0.4%	30	32.8	0.92×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 386	$2.45	0.4%	29	32.6	0.89×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 383	$2.43	0.4%	34	32.9	1.03×
Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 382	$2.42	0.4%	38	33.0	1.15×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 365	$2.32	0.4%	29	34.5	0.84×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 346	$2.20	0.4%	29	36.4	0.80×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 334	$2.13	0.4%	40	37.7	1.06×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 333	$2.12	0.4%	38	37.8	1.00×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 327	$2.08	0.4%	36	38.6	0.93×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 327	$2.08	0.4%	45	38.6	1.17×
P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 299	$1.90	0.4%	56	42.1	1.33×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 292	$1.85	0.4%	49	43.2	1.13×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 287	$1.82	0.4%	48	44.0	1.09×
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 266	$1.69	0.4%	145	47.4	3.06×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 21	$1.13	3.5%	657	610.2	1.08×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 21	$1.13	3.5%	611	610.0	1.00×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 20	$1.12	3.5%	580	615.6	0.94×
G3SG1 \| High Seas (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 20	$1.12	3.5%	584	615.5	0.95×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 15	$0.82	3.5%	847	840.7	1.01×
P90 \| Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 14	$0.79	3.5%	911	872.7	1.04×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 13	$0.70	3.5%	987	984.9	1.00×
StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 12	$0.64	3.5%	1,003	1077.1	0.93×
P90 \| Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	10.9%	$0.50	3.5%	1,374	1378.8	1.00×
P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	11.4%	$0.48	3.5%	1,347	1436.2	0.94×
P90 \| Neoqueen (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	11.4%	$0.48	3.5%	1,440	1436.1	1.00×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/adventurer, 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P90 | Neoqueen (Well-Worn)weapon · violetUnre@L$2.00$0.480.24x6m

Glock-18 | Grinder (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffFranci na balanci$2.00$2.361.18x1h

P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedMegan Fox$2.00$0.790.40x2h

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedERTO PEEK$2.00$9.074.54x2h

StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · violetPraff$2.00$0.700.35x3h

Glock-18 | Grinder (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ffBIGI$2.00$2.451.23x4h

StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · violetBuza$2.00$0.700.35x5h

G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedBuza$2.00$1.130.57x5h

StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violetfuzo ❤L$2.00$0.820.41x5h

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedWORM$2.00$7.383.69x5h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.01%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$1.76	88.01%	160
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$1.76	88.01%	160
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$1.76	87.99%	160
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$1.76	88.03%	160
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$1.76	88.01%	160
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$1.76	88.02%	160
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$1.76	88.01%	160
3 Nov, 22:52 UTC	$1.76	88.04%	160

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed4 0.2%restricted 31.5%classified 3.5%mil spec 0.5%pink 1.9%Classified 0.5%Legendary 0.5%#d32ee6 0.2%Restricted 0.3%Mythical 0.7%#d32ce6 0.2%violet 57.4%#8847ff 1.7%milspec 0.4%Rare 0.3%blue 0.3%best hit —