Asiimov Family

A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$12.00

Advertised RTP

87.97%

EV $10.56 from 201 items

Observed RTP, 30d

78.02%

335 openings, odds method

Variance

3.6×

of price², per opening

Tail share

10.2%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

30 openings · below min

7 days

74.51%±22.77273 openings

30 days

78.02%±20.59335 openings

since tracking started

78.02%±20.59335 openings

19.0%87.8%156.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	30	87.78%±68.2	—	odds
7d	273	74.51%±22.8	−1.2σ	odds
30d	335	78.02%±20.6	−0.9σ	odds
All	335	78.02%±20.6	−0.9σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values201 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 335 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AWP \| BOOM (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 20,000	$763	0.4%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 11,111	$462	0.4%	0	0.0	—
AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$375	0.4%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$375	0.4%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$352	0.4%	0	0.0	—
P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$337	0.4%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$302	0.4%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 7,692	$299	0.4%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 6,667	$279	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 6,667	$274	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$274	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,250	$266	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$263	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$238	0.4%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 5,882	$235	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 5,556	$232	0.4%	0	0.1	—
P90 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 5,556	$229	0.4%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$228	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,556	$228	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,263	$221	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,263	$213	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 5,263	$212	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,762	$193	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,762	$192	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 4,348	$181	0.4%	0	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 4,348	$180	0.4%	0	0.1	—
MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 4,348	$175	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 4,167	$171	0.4%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 4,167	$168	0.4%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 4,000	$167	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,846	$158	0.4%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 3,846	$155	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · rare	1 in 3,704	$151	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 3,571	$145	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 3,571	$144	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,571	$143	0.4%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 3,571	$141	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,448	$141	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,333	$134	0.4%	0	0.1	—
P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 3,226	$131	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,941	$119	0.4%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 2,857	$119	0.4%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 2,941	$118	0.4%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 2,703	$112	0.4%	1	0.1	—
AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 2,778	$111	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,703	$111	0.4%	2	0.1	—
P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 2,703	$110	0.4%	1	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 2,564	$104	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 2,564	$104	0.4%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 2,500	$102	0.4%	0	0.1	—
P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert	1 in 2,500	$101	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,500	$99.67	0.4%	0	0.1	—
Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 2,439	$98.55	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,439	$98.35	0.4%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 2,439	$97.94	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 2,381	$95.87	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,381	$95.68	0.4%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,174	$88.29	0.4%	1	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 2,041	$83.76	0.4%	0	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 1,961	$80.74	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient	1 in 2,000	$80.33	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,961	$80.27	0.4%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,000	$80.21	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 1,961	$79.76	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 1,923	$79.14	0.4%	0	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 1,961	$78.61	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient	1 in 1,852	$75.66	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 1,852	$75.23	0.4%	0	0.2	—
AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 1,818	$73.16	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 1,754	$71.09	0.4%	0	0.2	—
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,754	$71.03	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,724	$70.28	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 1,724	$69.76	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Marina (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,695	$69.49	0.4%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 1,695	$68.81	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,667	$67.80	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 1,639	$66.88	0.4%	0	0.2	—
MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 1,639	$66.43	0.4%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,613	$65.41	0.4%	0	0.2	—
AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 1,351	$55.05	0.4%	0	0.2	—
AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 1,333	$54.50	0.4%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,333	$54.05	0.4%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,316	$52.86	0.4%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,282	$51.93	0.4%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,266	$51.84	0.4%	0	0.3	—
AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 1,266	$51.25	0.4%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,220	$49.95	0.4%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,220	$49.54	0.4%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,190	$48.57	0.4%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,136	$46.23	0.4%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient	1 in 1,136	$45.96	0.4%	0	0.3	—
AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,111	$45.27	0.4%	1	0.3	—
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,111	$44.82	0.4%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,099	$44.46	0.4%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,087	$44.08	0.4%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,075	$43.96	0.4%	1	0.3	—
USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 990	$40.20	0.4%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 962	$38.94	0.4%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 943	$38.40	0.4%	0	0.4	—
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 870	$35.26	0.4%	0	0.4	—
P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 870	$35.06	0.4%	0	0.4	—
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 800	$32.46	0.4%	1	0.4	—
SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 746	$30.26	0.4%	1	0.4	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 730	$29.64	0.4%	0	0.5	—
Dual Berettas \| Marina (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 730	$29.44	0.4%	0	0.5	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 714	$28.87	0.4%	0	0.5	—
M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 709	$28.77	0.4%	0	0.5	—
SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 676	$27.33	0.4%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 645	$26.19	0.4%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 641	$26.14	0.4%	0	0.5	—
AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 645	$26.11	0.4%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 592	$23.89	0.4%	0	0.6	—
AK-47 \| Cartel (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 585	$23.76	0.4%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 581	$23.51	0.4%	1	0.6	—
MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 552	$22.37	0.4%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 552	$22.36	0.4%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 518	$21.00	0.4%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 513	$20.83	0.4%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 505	$20.41	0.4%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 495	$20.06	0.4%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 493	$20.01	0.4%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Rose Iron (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 472	$19.12	0.4%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 467	$19.01	0.4%	0	0.7	—
AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 465	$18.87	0.4%	1	0.7	—
AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 461	$18.70	0.4%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 461	$18.70	0.4%	1	0.7	—
SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 418	$17.01	0.4%	0	0.8	—
Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 418	$17.01	0.4%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 418	$17.00	0.4%	0	0.8	—
P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 368	$14.95	0.4%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Marina (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 362	$14.69	0.4%	2	0.9	—
StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 361	$14.66	0.4%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 355	$14.43	0.4%	2	0.9	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 351	$14.24	0.4%	1	1.0	—
P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 347	$14.07	0.4%	0	1.0	—
StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 342	$13.91	0.4%	2	1.0	—
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 340	$13.80	0.4%	2	1.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 334	$13.61	0.4%	1	1.0	1.00×
P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 334	$13.60	0.4%	2	1.0	2.00×
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 330	$13.38	0.4%	0	1.0	0.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 327	$13.27	0.4%	2	1.0	1.95×
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 325	$13.17	0.4%	1	1.0	0.97×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 317	$12.90	0.4%	1	1.1	0.95×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 298	$12.06	0.4%	0	1.1	0.00×
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 296	$12.03	0.4%	3	1.1	2.65×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 294	$11.95	0.4%	0	1.1	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nitro (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 292	$11.86	0.4%	0	1.1	0.00×
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 292	$11.84	0.4%	0	1.1	0.00×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Rose Iron (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 287	$11.64	0.4%	1	1.2	0.86×
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 286	$11.60	0.4%	2	1.2	1.71×
StatTrak™ MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 286	$11.60	0.4%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 283	$11.48	0.4%	2	1.2	1.69×
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 278	$11.28	0.4%	2	1.2	1.66×
SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 278	$11.27	0.4%	1	1.2	0.83×
StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 278	$11.27	0.4%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 262	$10.65	0.4%	4	1.3	3.13×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Marina (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 112	$10.55	0.9%	0	3.0	0.00×
AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 111	$10.41	0.9%	1	3.0	0.33×
MP9 \| Rose Iron (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 110	$10.33	0.9%	4	3.0	1.31×
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 110	$10.30	0.9%	2	3.1	0.65×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 109	$10.22	0.9%	2	3.1	0.65×
SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 108	$10.11	0.9%	3	3.1	0.96×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Marina (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 107	$10.05	0.9%	4	3.1	1.28×
SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 105	$9.87	0.9%	3	3.2	0.94×
SG 553 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 101	$9.50	0.9%	2	3.3	0.60×
MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 100	$9.38	0.9%	6	3.4	1.79×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Marina (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 96	$8.98	0.9%	5	3.5	1.43×
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 93	$8.71	0.9%	6	3.6	1.66×
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 92	$8.68	0.9%	1	3.6	0.28×
Dual Berettas \| Marina (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 89	$8.33	0.9%	8	3.8	2.12×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 83	$7.81	0.9%	1	4.0	0.25×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 81	$7.58	0.9%	5	4.2	1.20×
MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 80	$7.52	0.9%	1	4.2	0.24×
Dual Berettas \| Marina (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 80	$7.48	0.9%	4	4.2	0.95×
Dual Berettas \| Marina (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 79	$7.42	0.9%	6	4.2	1.41×
StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 78	$7.34	0.9%	5	4.3	1.17×
MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 77	$7.26	0.9%	3	4.3	0.69×
Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 77	$7.25	0.9%	5	4.3	1.15×
MP9 \| Rose Iron (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 75	$7.08	0.9%	9	4.4	2.02×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 75	$7.07	0.9%	6	4.5	1.35×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 75	$7.02	0.9%	2	4.5	0.45×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 74	$6.99	0.9%	4	4.5	0.89×
MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 71	$6.70	0.9%	0	4.7	0.00×
MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 69	$6.44	0.9%	5	4.9	1.02×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 68	$6.42	0.9%	4	4.9	0.82×
SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 63	$5.91	0.9%	4	5.3	0.75×
Dual Berettas \| Marina (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 56	$5.30	0.9%	3	5.9	0.51×
SG 553 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 54	$5.08	0.9%	3	6.2	0.48×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 54	$5.06	0.9%	8	6.2	1.29×
SG 553 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 50	$4.74	0.9%	8	6.6	1.20×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 45	$4.22	0.9%	11	7.5	1.47×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 44	$4.15	0.9%	8	7.6	1.05×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 42	$3.98	0.9%	10	7.9	1.26×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 40	$3.78	0.9%	8	8.3	0.96×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 39	$3.67	0.9%	8	8.6	0.93×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 34	$3.21	0.9%	10	9.8	1.02×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 27	$2.57	0.9%	10	12.3	0.82×
Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 24	$2.21	0.9%	16	14.2	1.12×
Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 20	$1.84	0.9%	22	17.1	1.29×
Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 19	$1.80	0.9%	18	17.5	1.03×
Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 16	$1.54	0.9%	21	20.4	1.03×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/asiimov-family, 11 Nov, 15:56 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pinkpffffffffffp$12.00$9.870.82x20m

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedカネキ$12.00$6.990.58x1h

USP-S | Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedmionnut$12.00$3.980.33x2h

SG 553 | Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · pink✪ PLayßoy ✪$12.00$4.740.40x4h

Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested)weapon · violetHeuussss$12.00$2.210.18x4h

SG 553 | Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · pinkHeuussss$12.00$4.740.40x4h

USP-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedHeuussss$12.00$3.670.31x4h

StatTrak™ USP-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedspyhidden$12.00$4.150.35x5h

SSG 08 | Big Iron (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6Snow$12.00$10.110.84x5h

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Marina (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedtortt$12.00$8.980.75x7h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.97%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$12.00	87.97%	201
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC	$12.00	87.98%	201
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$12.00	88.04%	201
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$12.00	88.02%	201
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$12.00	88.00%	201
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$12.00	87.95%	201
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$12.00	87.98%	201
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$12.00	87.95%	201
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$12.00	88.01%	201
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$12.00	87.88%	201
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$12.00	88.04%	201
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$12.00	87.95%	201

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 20.2%covert 1.8%#eb4b4b 0.1%Legendary 2.2%rare 0.0%Covert 0.1%Classified 1.5%Ancient 0.2%red 0.1%restricted 35.5%pink 6.9%#d32ce6 1.1%#d32ee6 1.3%#8847ff 5.5%Mythical 6.6%violet 16.9%best hit —