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Community Capsule

A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$3.50
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
202.02%
80 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
5 openings · below min
7 days
75 openings · below min
30 days
80 openings · below min
since tracking started
80 openings · below min
9.0%166.0%323.0%

Small sample. 80 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h513.43%±3.81—sample
7d75174.96%±104.8—sample
30d80202.02%±120.4—sample
All80202.02%±120.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | Shave Mastersticker · highA$AP ヨママゲイ$3.50$0.530.15x
Sticker | Burn Them Allsticker · High GradeA$AP ヨママゲイ$3.50$0.460.13x
Sticker | My Other Awpsticker · 7Fogous$3.50$0.660.19x
Sticker | To B or not to Bsticker · highFogous$3.50$0.240.07x
Sticker | Burn Them Allsticker · High GradeFogous$3.50$0.460.13x
Sticker | Burn Them Allsticker · High GradeInrealite$3.50$0.460.13x
Sticker | Sneaky Beaky Likesticker · Raredoniktalinew$3.50$1.410.40x
Sticker | My Other Awpsticker · 7nimrasdinenc$3.50$0.660.19x
Sticker | Backstabsticker · Rarefrcanhieaw$3.50$0.230.07x
Sticker | Swag (Foil)sticker · Exoticcarugohapu$3.50$48.0913.74x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —