Desert Eagle Case

A case on Hellcase (devices), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$5.00

Advertised RTP

87.96%

EV $4.40 from 262 items

Observed RTP, 30d

90.42%

2,624 openings, odds method

Variance

11.3×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 31

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

155 openings · below min

7 days

81.41%±15.561,799 openings

30 days

90.42%±12.952,624 openings

since tracking started

90.42%±12.952,624 openings

13.5%67.0%120.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	155	66.95%±52.8	—	odds
7d	1,799	81.41%±15.6	−0.8σ	odds
30d	2,624	90.42%±13.0	+0.4σ	odds
All	2,624	90.42%±13.0	+0.4σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values262 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,625 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$887	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 100,000	$717	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$671	0.2%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$565	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$548	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$545	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$513	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$511	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$488	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 100,000	$464	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$439	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$416	0.1%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 100,000	$414	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 100,000	$393	0.1%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 14,286	$375	0.6%	0	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$375	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$292	0.5%	1	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 11,111	$275	0.6%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$267	0.6%	1	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$235	0.5%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$233	0.6%	0	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$219	0.5%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 9,091	$216	0.5%	0	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 8,333	$214	0.6%	1	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$213	0.6%	1	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 8,333	$209	0.6%	0	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Golden Koi (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$208	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$204	0.6%	1	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 8,333	$202	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$194	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 7,692	$194	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$192	0.6%	0	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 7,692	$189	0.6%	0	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 7,143	$184	0.6%	0	0.4	—
Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 7,143	$183	0.6%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 7,143	$178	0.6%	0	0.4	—
Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$163	0.6%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 5,000	$126	0.6%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,000	$124	0.6%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 4,762	$118	0.6%	0	0.6	—
Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 4,348	$107	0.6%	2	0.6	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 4,167	$104	0.6%	0	0.6	—
Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,167	$103	0.6%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 4,000	$103	0.6%	1	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Night (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 4,000	$102	0.6%	0	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,000	$102	0.6%	2	0.7	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,846	$99.67	0.6%	1	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,704	$95.91	0.6%	0	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,846	$95.31	0.6%	2	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,846	$93.44	0.6%	1	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 3,571	$90.22	0.6%	0	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 3,571	$88.56	0.6%	2	0.7	—
Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 3,448	$86.84	0.6%	1	0.8	—
Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 3,448	$86.72	0.6%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,333	$85.47	0.6%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,448	$85.08	0.6%	1	0.8	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 3,333	$83.76	0.6%	1	0.8	—
Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,333	$82.53	0.6%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,226	$81.42	0.6%	1	0.8	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 3,226	$80.74	0.6%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,226	$79.76	0.6%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,226	$79.43	0.6%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,125	$79.31	0.6%	1	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,125	$79.14	0.6%	0	0.8	—
Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 3,125	$78.61	0.6%	3	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 3,030	$76.27	0.6%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,941	$74.19	0.6%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,857	$72.82	0.6%	0	0.9	—
Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 2,857	$72.26	0.6%	5	0.9	—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,857	$70.09	0.6%	0	0.9	—
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,703	$68.35	0.6%	3	1.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare	1 in 2,439	$61.30	0.6%	3	1.1	2.79×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 2,326	$59.13	0.6%	1	1.1	0.89×
Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 2,174	$54.30	0.6%	0	1.2	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 2,041	$51.46	0.6%	0	1.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$50.49	0.6%	0	1.3	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 2,000	$50.36	0.6%	1	1.3	0.76×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,852	$46.49	0.6%	1	1.4	0.71×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert	1 in 1,786	$44.86	0.6%	2	1.5	1.36×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 1,786	$44.46	0.6%	0	1.5	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested)weapon · rare	1 in 1,695	$42.92	0.6%	1	1.5	0.65×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 1,667	$41.98	0.6%	2	1.6	1.27×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,613	$40.64	0.6%	1	1.6	0.61×
Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,587	$39.76	0.6%	1	1.7	0.60×
Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 1,562	$39.52	0.6%	1	1.7	0.60×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,538	$38.48	0.6%	2	1.7	1.17×
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon	1 in 1,493	$37.23	0.6%	0	1.8	0.00×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,429	$35.80	0.6%	1	1.8	0.54×
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified	1 in 1,282	$32.36	0.6%	1	2.0	0.49×
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Battle-Scarred)weapon · uncommon	1 in 1,220	$30.68	0.6%	2	2.2	0.93×
Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,163	$29.16	0.6%	3	2.3	1.33×
Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,124	$28.27	0.6%	0	2.3	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,111	$28.03	0.6%	1	2.4	0.42×
Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,111	$27.97	0.6%	2	2.4	0.85×
Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,099	$27.55	0.6%	2	2.4	0.84×
Desert Eagle \| Night (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,075	$27.03	0.6%	3	2.4	1.23×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,042	$26.31	0.6%	3	2.5	1.19×
Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 1,020	$25.74	0.6%	0	2.6	0.00×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,020	$25.64	0.6%	1	2.6	0.39×
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 1,020	$25.46	0.6%	4	2.6	1.55×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,010	$25.42	0.6%	2	2.6	0.77×
Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,000	$25.20	0.6%	2	2.6	0.76×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 990	$25.02	0.6%	3	2.7	1.13×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,000	$24.98	0.6%	4	2.6	1.52×
Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,000	$24.94	0.6%	2	2.6	0.76×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 990	$24.90	0.6%	1	2.7	0.38×
Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Factory New)weapon · light blue	1 in 980	$24.70	0.6%	1	2.7	0.37×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 971	$24.56	0.6%	5	2.7	1.85×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 971	$24.42	0.6%	1	2.7	0.37×
Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 935	$23.55	0.6%	2	2.8	0.71×
Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 926	$23.18	0.6%	4	2.8	1.41×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 917	$23.09	0.6%	4	2.9	1.40×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 862	$21.73	0.6%	4	3.0	1.31×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 862	$21.69	0.6%	4	3.0	1.31×
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 862	$21.66	0.6%	7	3.0	2.30×
Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 813	$20.56	0.6%	4	3.2	1.24×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 813	$20.29	0.6%	2	3.2	0.62×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 746	$18.70	0.6%	6	3.5	1.71×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 699	$17.62	0.6%	6	3.8	1.60×
Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 662	$16.63	0.6%	7	4.0	1.77×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 662	$16.60	0.6%	3	4.0	0.76×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 658	$16.56	0.6%	4	4.0	1.00×
Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 633	$15.97	0.6%	7	4.1	1.69×
Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 595	$14.94	0.6%	4	4.4	0.91×
Desert Eagle \| Night (Field-Tested)weapon · light blue	1 in 562	$14.08	0.6%	5	4.7	1.07×
Desert Eagle \| Night (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 549	$13.87	0.6%	7	4.8	1.47×
Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 546	$13.70	0.6%	6	4.8	1.25×
Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 541	$13.63	0.6%	9	4.9	1.85×
Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 538	$13.48	0.6%	7	4.9	1.43×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 538	$13.47	0.6%	3	4.9	0.61×
Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 495	$12.42	0.6%	5	5.3	0.94×
Desert Eagle \| Night (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 493	$12.39	0.6%	6	5.3	1.13×
Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 488	$12.26	0.6%	7	5.4	1.30×
Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 472	$11.87	0.6%	3	5.6	0.54×
Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 408	$10.27	0.6%	2	6.4	0.31×
Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 400	$10.09	0.6%	10	6.6	1.52×
Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 400	$10.06	0.6%	5	6.6	0.76×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 394	$9.91	0.6%	6	6.7	0.90×
Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 377	$9.48	0.6%	8	7.0	1.15×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 361	$9.07	0.6%	6	7.3	0.83×
Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 351	$8.83	0.6%	7	7.5	0.94×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 341	$8.58	0.6%	10	7.7	1.30×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 341	$8.56	0.6%	6	7.7	0.78×
Desert Eagle \| Directive (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 338	$8.51	0.6%	13	7.8	1.67×
Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 309	$7.75	0.6%	10	8.5	1.18×
Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 301	$7.58	0.6%	10	8.7	1.15×
Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 279	$7.02	0.6%	7	9.4	0.74×
Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 279	$7.00	0.6%	9	9.4	0.96×
Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 267	$6.72	0.6%	14	9.8	1.43×
Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 261	$6.56	0.6%	7	10.1	0.70×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 250	$6.29	0.6%	7	10.5	0.67×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 238	$5.97	0.6%	9	11.1	0.81×
Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 204	$5.14	0.6%	18	12.8	1.40×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 202	$5.07	0.6%	13	13.0	1.00×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 192	$4.83	0.6%	13	13.6	0.95×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 190	$4.78	0.6%	11	13.8	0.80×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 190	$4.78	0.6%	9	13.8	0.65×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 181	$4.54	0.6%	24	14.5	1.65×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 621	$4.21	0.2%	11	4.2	2.60×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 592	$4.00	0.2%	13	4.4	2.93×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 585	$3.96	0.2%	2	4.5	0.45×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 571	$3.87	0.2%	9	4.6	1.96×
Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 505	$3.43	0.2%	3	5.2	0.58×
Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 485	$3.28	0.2%	9	5.4	1.66×
Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 467	$3.17	0.2%	5	5.6	0.89×
Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 465	$3.15	0.2%	5	5.6	0.89×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 422	$2.86	0.2%	5	6.2	0.80×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 408	$2.76	0.2%	5	6.4	0.78×
Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 392	$2.66	0.2%	8	6.7	1.20×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 392	$2.65	0.2%	4	6.7	0.60×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 376	$2.55	0.2%	10	7.0	1.43×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 358	$2.43	0.2%	7	7.3	0.96×
Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 356	$2.41	0.2%	8	7.4	1.08×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 353	$2.39	0.2%	5	7.4	0.67×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 351	$2.38	0.2%	9	7.5	1.20×
Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 347	$2.35	0.2%	8	7.6	1.06×
Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 341	$2.31	0.2%	13	7.7	1.69×
Desert Eagle \| The Bronze (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 340	$2.30	0.2%	6	7.7	0.78×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 314	$2.13	0.2%	3	8.3	0.36×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 312	$2.11	0.2%	7	8.4	0.83×
Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Factory New)weapon · uncommon	1 in 312	$2.11	0.2%	8	8.4	0.95×
Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 308	$2.08	0.2%	8	8.5	0.94×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 299	$2.02	0.2%	10	8.8	1.14×
Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 290	$1.96	0.2%	12	9.1	1.33×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 285	$1.93	0.2%	6	9.2	0.65×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 279	$1.89	0.2%	9	9.4	0.96×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 278	$1.88	0.2%	12	9.4	1.27×
Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue	1 in 273	$1.85	0.2%	10	9.6	1.04×
Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 273	$1.85	0.2%	10	9.6	1.04×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Directive (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 262	$1.78	0.2%	8	10.0	0.80×
Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Factory New)weapon · blueLight	1 in 258	$1.75	0.2%	9	10.2	0.89×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 250	$1.69	0.2%	17	10.5	1.62×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 238	$1.61	0.2%	4	11.1	0.36×
Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 236	$1.60	0.2%	16	11.1	1.44×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 231	$1.57	0.2%	12	11.3	1.06×
Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · blueLight	1 in 230	$1.56	0.2%	6	11.4	0.53×
Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 229	$1.55	0.2%	15	11.5	1.31×
Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 226	$1.53	0.2%	14	11.6	1.20×
Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 225	$1.52	0.2%	10	11.7	0.86×
Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 223	$1.51	0.2%	13	11.8	1.10×
Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 223	$1.51	0.2%	16	11.8	1.36×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 217	$1.47	0.2%	12	12.1	0.99×
Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 212	$1.44	0.2%	8	12.4	0.65×
Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 210	$1.42	0.2%	7	12.5	0.56×
Desert Eagle \| Directive (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 204	$1.38	0.2%	17	12.9	1.32×
Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 204	$1.38	0.2%	6	12.9	0.47×
Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 200	$1.35	0.2%	13	13.2	0.99×
Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 196	$1.33	0.2%	9	13.4	0.67×
Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 193	$1.31	0.2%	8	13.6	0.59×
Desert Eagle \| Directive (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 190	$1.29	0.2%	10	13.8	0.73×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 183	$1.24	0.2%	18	14.3	1.26×
Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 182	$1.23	0.2%	13	14.4	0.90×
Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 176	$1.19	0.2%	8	14.9	0.54×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 168	$1.14	0.2%	20	15.6	1.28×
Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 165	$1.12	0.2%	14	15.9	0.88×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 165	$1.12	0.2%	13	15.9	0.82×
Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 164	$1.11	0.2%	11	16.0	0.69×
Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 156	$1.06	0.2%	11	16.8	0.66×
Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 152	$1.03	0.2%	19	17.3	1.10×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 151	$1.02	0.2%	22	17.4	1.26×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 149	$1.01	0.2%	21	17.6	1.19×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 148	$1.00	0.2%	23	17.8	1.29×
Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 145	$0.98	0.2%	15	18.1	0.83×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 142	$0.96	0.2%	23	18.5	1.24×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 131	$0.89	0.2%	18	20.0	0.90×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 131	$0.89	0.2%	25	20.0	1.25×
Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 125	$0.85	0.2%	18	20.9	0.86×
Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 125	$0.85	0.2%	15	20.9	0.72×
Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 123	$0.83	0.2%	23	21.4	1.07×
Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 118	$0.80	0.2%	23	22.2	1.04×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 118	$0.80	0.2%	16	22.2	0.72×
Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 112	$0.76	0.2%	22	23.4	0.94×
Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 112	$0.76	0.2%	16	23.4	0.68×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 108	$0.73	0.2%	30	24.4	1.23×
Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 106	$0.72	0.2%	23	24.7	0.93×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 106	$0.72	0.2%	23	24.7	0.93×
Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 106	$0.72	0.2%	21	24.7	0.85×
Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 105	$0.71	0.2%	15	25.0	0.60×
Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 103	$0.70	0.2%	21	25.4	0.83×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 103	$0.70	0.2%	21	25.4	0.83×
Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 100	$0.68	0.2%	23	26.1	0.88×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 96	$0.65	0.2%	32	27.4	1.17×
Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 94	$0.64	0.2%	34	27.8	1.22×
Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)weapon · 1	1 in 95	$0.64	0.2%	25	27.8	0.90×
Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 81	$0.55	0.2%	20	32.3	0.62×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 80	$0.54	0.2%	50	32.9	1.52×
Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 78	$0.53	0.2%	33	33.5	0.98×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 66	$0.45	0.2%	32	39.5	0.81×
Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 66	$0.45	0.2%	46	39.5	1.16×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 63	$0.43	0.2%	32	41.3	0.77×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 55	$0.37	0.2%	38	48.0	0.79×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 53	$0.36	0.2%	43	49.4	0.87×
Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 52	$0.35	0.2%	49	50.8	0.96×
Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 50	$0.34	0.2%	39	52.3	0.75×
Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 46	$0.31	0.2%	68	57.4	1.19×
Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 37	$0.25	0.2%	71	71.1	1.00×
Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 37	$0.25	0.2%	79	71.1	1.11×
Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 35	$0.24	0.2%	81	74.1	1.09×
Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Well-Worn)weapon · blueLight	1 in 35	$0.24	0.2%	93	74.1	1.26×
Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue	1 in 34	$0.23	0.2%	68	77.3	0.88×
Desert Eagle \| Tilted (Field-Tested)weapon · #5e98d9	1 in 34	$0.23	0.2%	89	77.3	1.15×
Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2	1 in 34	$0.23	0.2%	91	77.3	1.18×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/desert-eagle, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Golden Koi (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertJKane$5.00$31663.29x7d

Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$5.00$27555.04x5d

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$5.00$26753.38x7d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspechubiogr$5.00$0.800.16x3m

Desert Eagle | Heirloom (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedhubiogr$5.00$13.482.70x3m

Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ffk1ss3d_$5.00$0.450.09x29m

Desert Eagle | Mudder (Minimal Wear)weapon · 2k1ss3d_$5.00$0.230.05x30m

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Well-Worn)weapon · blue\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.00$0.240.05x51m

Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.00$0.720.14x51m

Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.00$0.250.05x51m

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.00$1.010.20x52m

Desert Eagle | Tilted (Field-Tested)weapon · #5e98d9\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.00$0.230.05x52m

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec\.|./ Nádegas a declarar!$5.00$1.140.23x52m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.96%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$5.00	87.96%	262
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$5.00	88.00%	262
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$5.00	87.96%	262
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$5.00	87.98%	262
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$5.00	88.07%	262
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$5.00	87.92%	262
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$5.00	87.90%	262
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$5.00	88.05%	262
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$5.00	87.82%	262
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$5.00	87.94%	262
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$5.00	88.02%	262

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 1.1%2 2.9%restricted 12.2%rare 0.1%classified 2.6%covert 0.7%#8847ff 3.1%Classified 0.1%pink 1.8%#d32ee6 0.2%Covert 0.1%industrial 2.1%mil spec 12.2%red 0.1%Legendary 0.6%Ancient 0.1%uncommon 0.5%blue 14.6%milspec 12.2%light blue 0.3%Mythical 1.7%Industrial Grade 0.3%Uncommon 1.6%violet 4.5%Mil Spec Grade 1.8%Mil Spec 0.3%Restricted 0.4%blueLight 3.6%#4b69ff 10.4%Rare 4.8%#5e98d9 2.9%best hit $316 (63.29x)