First Strike

A case on Hellcase (first-strike), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$0.30

Advertised RTP

86.02%

EV $0.26 from 163 items

Observed RTP, 30d

82.77%

31.6K openings, odds method

Variance

6.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 13

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

79.64%±8.183,618 openings

7 days

83.14%±3.0726.4K openings

30 days

82.77%±2.8131.6K openings

since tracking started

82.77%±2.8131.6K openings

71.0%79.8%88.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	3,618	79.64%±8.18	−0.9σ	odds
7d	26.4K	83.14%±3.07	−0.9σ	odds
30d	31.6K	82.77%±2.81	−1.2σ	odds
All	31.6K	82.77%±2.81	−1.2σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values163 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 31.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 25,000	$34.50	0.5%	1	1.3	0.79×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 33,333	$33.75	0.4%	1	0.9	—
USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 25,000	$32.75	0.5%	1	1.3	0.79×
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 20,000	$24.80	0.5%	4	1.6	2.53×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 14,286	$18.13	0.5%	3	2.2	1.35×
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 14,286	$16.81	0.5%	2	2.2	0.90×
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 14,286	$15.28	0.4%	1	2.2	0.45×
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 12,500	$14.85	0.5%	1	2.5	0.39×
Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 12,500	$14.71	0.5%	1	2.5	0.39×
Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 12,500	$14.08	0.4%	3	2.5	1.18×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 12,500	$13.80	0.4%	0	2.5	0.00×
AWP \| Black Nile (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 11,111	$13.66	0.5%	3	2.8	1.05×
Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 11,111	$13.38	0.5%	2	2.8	0.70×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$12.90	0.5%	1	3.2	0.32×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 11,111	$12.88	0.4%	1	2.8	0.35×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$12.06	0.5%	3	3.2	0.95×
M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$11.95	0.5%	5	3.2	1.58×
Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 9,091	$10.91	0.5%	2	3.5	0.57×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 9,091	$10.20	0.4%	5	3.5	1.44×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 7,692	$9.50	0.5%	4	4.1	0.97×
USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 7,692	$8.89	0.4%	4	4.1	0.97×
AWP \| Acheron (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 7,143	$8.82	0.5%	3	4.4	0.68×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 7,143	$8.28	0.4%	3	4.4	0.68×
CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$7.83	0.5%	4	4.7	0.84×
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 6,667	$7.75	0.5%	3	4.7	0.63×
Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,556	$6.35	0.4%	8	5.7	1.40×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 5,263	$6.31	0.5%	8	6.0	1.33×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,263	$6.26	0.5%	4	6.0	0.67×
AWP \| Black Nile (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 5,263	$6.07	0.4%	7	6.0	1.16×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 4,762	$5.81	0.5%	9	6.6	1.35×
USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 3,846	$4.64	0.5%	11	8.2	1.34×
USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified	1 in 3,571	$4.11	0.4%	3	8.9	0.34×
USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 3,333	$4.03	0.5%	8	9.5	0.84×
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 3,333	$3.96	0.5%	11	9.5	1.16×
Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,226	$3.86	0.5%	11	9.8	1.12×
AWP \| Black Nile (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue	1 in 3,226	$3.85	0.5%	4	9.8	0.41×
Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 3,226	$3.84	0.5%	13	9.8	1.33×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 3,226	$3.81	0.5%	15	9.8	1.53×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,125	$3.72	0.5%	14	10.1	1.38×
AWP \| Black Nile (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 3,030	$3.64	0.5%	11	10.4	1.05×
M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,125	$3.62	0.4%	11	10.1	1.09×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,030	$3.62	0.5%	12	10.4	1.15×
AWP \| Black Nile (Field-Tested)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 2,941	$3.48	0.5%	9	10.8	0.84×
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,857	$3.38	0.5%	11	11.1	0.99×
PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 2,703	$3.21	0.5%	13	11.7	1.11×
FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 2,703	$3.19	0.5%	14	11.7	1.20×
CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,632	$3.15	0.5%	9	12.0	0.75×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 2,500	$2.98	0.5%	14	12.7	1.11×
CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,439	$2.89	0.5%	7	13.0	0.54×
CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,128	$2.53	0.5%	16	14.9	1.08×
CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,083	$2.46	0.5%	9	15.2	0.59×
AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 2,000	$2.36	0.5%	12	15.8	0.76×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 1,923	$2.28	0.5%	13	16.5	0.79×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 1,754	$2.09	0.5%	19	18.0	1.05×
P250 \| Valence (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,695	$2.02	0.5%	17	18.7	0.91×
M4A4 \| Converter (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 1,562	$1.87	0.5%	21	20.3	1.04×
SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,587	$1.86	0.5%	20	19.9	1.00×
AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,471	$1.74	0.5%	14	21.5	0.65×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,351	$1.60	0.5%	18	23.4	0.77×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,333	$1.58	0.5%	24	23.7	1.01×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,316	$1.55	0.5%	33	24.1	1.37×
Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 1,282	$1.53	0.5%	24	24.7	0.97×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 1,266	$1.50	0.5%	24	25.0	0.96×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,250	$1.49	0.5%	30	25.3	1.18×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 1,190	$1.41	0.5%	17	26.6	0.64×
PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,163	$1.38	0.5%	29	27.2	1.07×
Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,163	$1.38	0.5%	31	27.2	1.14×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,149	$1.36	0.5%	16	27.5	0.58×
Desert Eagle \| Meteorite (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,136	$1.35	0.5%	29	27.9	1.04×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 1,136	$1.34	0.5%	16	27.9	0.57×
AWP \| Pit Viper (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 1,031	$1.23	0.5%	28	30.7	0.91×
AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,042	$1.23	0.5%	31	30.4	1.02×
AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,020	$1.22	0.5%	24	31.0	0.77×
AWP \| Acheron (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,031	$1.22	0.5%	28	30.7	0.91×
AWP \| Acheron (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 1,000	$1.19	0.5%	41	31.6	1.30×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 990	$1.18	0.5%	25	32.0	0.78×
SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 990	$1.17	0.5%	25	32.0	0.78×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 990	$1.17	0.5%	24	32.0	0.75×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 980	$1.16	0.5%	21	32.3	0.65×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 971	$1.15	0.5%	32	32.6	0.98×
AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 962	$1.14	0.5%	26	32.9	0.79×
M4A4 \| Converter (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 935	$1.11	0.5%	42	33.9	1.24×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 926	$1.10	0.5%	35	34.2	1.02×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1	1 in 917	$1.09	0.5%	27	34.5	0.78×
SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 901	$1.07	0.5%	37	35.1	1.05×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 877	$1.04	0.5%	32	36.1	0.89×
PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 877	$1.04	0.5%	37	36.1	1.03×
Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 870	$1.03	0.5%	28	36.4	0.77×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 870	$1.03	0.5%	28	36.4	0.77×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 840	$1.00	0.5%	46	37.7	1.22×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 800	$0.95	0.5%	29	39.6	0.73×
AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 800	$0.95	0.5%	40	39.6	1.01×
M4A4 \| Converter (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 769	$0.91	0.5%	41	41.1	1.00×
M4A4 \| Converter (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 758	$0.90	0.5%	25	41.8	0.60×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 746	$0.89	0.5%	38	42.4	0.90×
Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 704	$0.84	0.5%	34	44.9	0.76×
MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 699	$0.83	0.5%	52	45.3	1.15×
MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 690	$0.82	0.5%	36	45.9	0.78×
P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 667	$0.79	0.5%	51	47.5	1.07×
MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 649	$0.77	0.5%	50	48.7	1.03×
PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 641	$0.76	0.5%	53	49.4	1.07×
PP-Bizon \| Photic Zone (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 621	$0.74	0.5%	54	51.0	1.06×
P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 625	$0.74	0.5%	50	50.6	0.99×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 606	$0.72	0.5%	58	52.2	1.11×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 549	$0.65	0.5%	45	57.6	0.78×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 541	$0.64	0.5%	51	58.5	0.87×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 538	$0.64	0.5%	62	58.9	1.05×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 524	$0.62	0.5%	78	60.4	1.29×
SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 455	$0.54	0.5%	75	69.6	1.08×
SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 420	$0.50	0.5%	99	75.3	1.31×
SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 422	$0.50	0.5%	90	75.0	1.20×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 388	$0.46	0.5%	73	81.7	0.89×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 379	$0.45	0.5%	105	83.6	1.26×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 362	$0.43	0.5%	89	87.3	1.02×
SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 355	$0.42	0.5%	85	89.2	0.95×
SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 353	$0.42	0.5%	84	89.6	0.94×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 346	$0.41	0.5%	97	91.5	1.06×
P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 337	$0.40	0.5%	98	94.0	1.04×
P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 312	$0.37	0.5%	99	101.6	0.97×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 313	$0.37	0.5%	113	101.3	1.12×
Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 303	$0.36	0.5%	98	104.4	0.94×
P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 295	$0.35	0.5%	99	107.3	0.92×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 295	$0.35	0.5%	86	107.3	0.80×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 278	$0.33	0.5%	108	113.9	0.95×
M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 278	$0.33	0.5%	120	113.9	1.05×
SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 278	$0.33	0.5%	95	113.9	0.83×
SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 278	$0.33	0.5%	112	113.9	0.98×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 278	$0.33	0.5%	116	113.9	1.02×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 270	$0.32	0.5%	114	117.4	0.97×
M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 270	$0.32	0.5%	132	117.4	1.12×
MP7 \| Motherboard (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 261	$0.31	0.5%	124	121.2	1.02×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Well-Worn)weapon · 1	1 in 219	$0.26	0.5%	227	144.6	1.57×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 219	$0.26	0.5%	345	144.6	2.39×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 75	$0.25	1.3%	450	422.5	1.07×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 63	$0.21	1.3%	458	503.2	0.91×
Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 60	$0.20	1.3%	548	528.2	1.04×
P250 \| Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 60	$0.20	1.3%	535	528.2	1.01×
MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec	1 in 54	$0.18	1.3%	605	586.8	1.03×
MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 54	$0.18	1.3%	609	586.8	1.04×
P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 54	$0.18	1.3%	583	586.8	0.99×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 51	$0.17	1.3%	612	621.6	0.98×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 48	$0.16	1.3%	635	660.2	0.96×
M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 48	$0.16	1.3%	671	660.2	1.02×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 45	$0.15	1.3%	746	704.2	1.06×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare	1 in 42	$0.14	1.3%	871	754.5	1.15×
MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec	1 in 39	$0.13	1.3%	812	812.4	1.00×
P250 \| Metallic DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 39	$0.13	1.3%	811	812.7	1.00×
Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 36	$0.12	1.3%	825	880.1	0.94×
MP7 \| Motherboard (Minimal Wear)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 36	$0.12	1.3%	874	880.1	0.99×
M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 30	$0.10	1.3%	930	1056.4	0.88×
Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 30	$0.10	1.3%	1,084	1056.4	1.03×
Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 30	$0.10	1.3%	1,060	1056.4	1.00×
MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 30	$0.10	1.3%	953	1056.4	0.90×
MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 30	$0.10	1.3%	1,086	1056.4	1.03×
P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 30	$0.10	1.3%	1,108	1056.4	1.05×
P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested)weapon · 1	1 in 30	$0.10	1.3%	1,031	1056.4	0.98×
P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 30	$0.10	1.3%	1,006	1056.4	0.95×
MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 27	$0.09	1.3%	1,077	1173.8	0.92×
MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Well-Worn)weapon · Rare	1 in 27	$0.09	1.3%	1,195	1173.8	1.02×
MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 27	$0.09	1.3%	1,148	1173.8	0.98×
MP7 \| Motherboard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 27	$0.09	1.3%	1,295	1173.5	1.10×
MP7 \| Motherboard (Well-Worn)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 24	$0.08	1.3%	1,353	1320.7	1.02×
MP7 \| Motherboard (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 18	$0.06	1.3%	1,600	1760.9	0.91×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/first-strike, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Glock-18 | Weasel (Factory New)weapon · violetpushiin$0.30$41.36137.9x6d

USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classifiedHyper-V SKINS$0.30$32.75109.2x23h

FAMAS | ZX Spectron (Factory New)weapon · restrictedRevolvable$0.30$29.1397.10x1d

M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedchadwalker294$0.30$24.8082.67x1d

M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedRagnar Lothbrok$0.30$24.4981.63x4d

M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedThomaz ヅ$0.30$24.3781.23x3d

M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedthegreensangel.$0.30$24.3781.23x3d

M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Factory New)weapon · industrialDavolta$0.30$18.1360.43x8h

M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedBeculet$0.30$16.8156.03x2d

M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedkapkowski.tomek2006$0.30$16.5455.13x6d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Well-Worn)weapon · RareMaNeoX$0.30$0.090.30x1m

P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspecMaNeoX$0.30$0.100.33x1m

MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspeccameronwilson645$0.30$0.090.30x1m

MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Field-Tested)weapon · milspecmarcus.smith95$0.30$0.130.43x3m

MP7 | Motherboard (Well-Worn)weapon · #87c7fffrank_carter873$0.30$0.080.27x4m

MP7 | Motherboard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrialandromeda$0.30$0.090.30x5m

P250 | Metallic DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialcockOnut$0.30$0.200.67x5m

Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare吸我的鸡巴$0.30$0.120.40x6m

Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff吸我的鸡巴$0.30$0.361.20x6m

SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ffEl swiizose$0.30$0.421.40x6m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.02%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$0.30	86.02%	163
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$0.30	85.91%	163
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$0.30	85.97%	163
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$0.30	86.09%	163
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$0.30	86.02%	163
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$0.30	85.91%	163
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$0.30	85.88%	163
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$0.30	85.93%	163
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$0.30	85.95%	163
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$0.30	86.08%	163

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 3.9%restricted 0.6%violet 0.9%classified 0.2%industrial 10.0%pink 0.0%#4b69ff 5.5%mil spec 6.6%Mythical 0.3%Rare 12.2%blue 6.3%Classified 0.0%#8847ff 0.3%Mil Spec Grade 3.4%milspec 32.6%Uncommon 0.3%#87c7ff 12.9%Industrial Grade 4.0%best hit $41.36 (137.9x)