GLOCK-18

A case on Hellcase (devices), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$1.50

Advertised RTP

84.04%

EV $1.26 from 234 items

Observed RTP, 30d

90.53%

8,398 openings, odds method

Variance

10.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 20

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

85.7%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

82.98%±25.15610 openings

7 days

90.19%±8.435,599 openings

30 days

90.53%±6.958,398 openings

since tracking started

90.53%±6.958,398 openings

57.0%83.0%109.0%

Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 82.74% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (83.59% – 97.48%, 8,398 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	610	82.98%±25.2	+0.0σ	odds
7d	5,599	90.19%±8.43	+1.6σ	odds
30d	8,398	90.53%±6.95	+2.2σ	odds
All	8,398	90.53%±6.95	+2.2σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values234 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,429 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 50,000	$194	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 25,000	$150	0.5%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 25,000	$150	0.5%	0	0.3	—
Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 33,333	$148	0.4%	0	0.3	—
Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 25,000	$141	0.4%	0	0.3	—
Glock-18 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 25,000	$130	0.4%	0	0.3	—
Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 25,000	$128	0.4%	2	0.3	—
Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 20,000	$125	0.5%	0	0.4	—
Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 25,000	$123	0.4%	2	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 25,000	$118	0.4%	0	0.3	—
Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 25,000	$117	0.4%	0	0.3	—
Glock-18 \| Franklin (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 25,000	$113	0.4%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$103	0.4%	1	0.4	—
Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 20,000	$98.53	0.4%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 20,000	$97.24	0.4%	0	0.4	—
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$96.73	0.4%	2	0.4	—
Glock-18 \| Franklin (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 16,667	$95.74	0.5%	0	0.5	—
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New)weapon · red	1 in 16,667	$93.73	0.4%	0	0.5	—
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$89.10	0.4%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$86.44	0.4%	2	0.5	—
Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$81.58	0.4%	2	0.5	—
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear)weapon · Covert	1 in 16,667	$80.82	0.4%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$78.94	0.4%	0	0.6	—
Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested)weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 14,286	$74.48	0.4%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$72.45	0.4%	3	0.6	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$70.55	0.4%	0	0.6	—
Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 14,286	$70.45	0.4%	0	0.6	—
Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 12,500	$65.79	0.4%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 12,500	$60.51	0.4%	2	0.7	—
Glock-18 \| Reactor (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 11,111	$58.62	0.4%	0	0.8	—
Glock-18 \| Night (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 10,000	$51.59	0.4%	0	0.8	—
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 10,000	$48.56	0.4%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$48.01	0.4%	2	0.9	—
Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 9,091	$47.97	0.4%	1	0.9	—
Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 9,091	$45.33	0.4%	1	0.9	—
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 9,091	$44.82	0.4%	1	0.9	—
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 9,091	$44.39	0.4%	0	0.9	—
Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 9,091	$44.08	0.4%	1	0.9	—
Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 8,333	$41.90	0.4%	2	1.0	1.98×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 8,333	$41.80	0.4%	1	1.0	0.99×
Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$38.09	0.4%	0	1.2	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 7,692	$38.05	0.4%	0	1.1	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 7,143	$35.77	0.4%	2	1.2	1.69×
Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$35.75	0.4%	1	1.2	0.85×
Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 6,667	$35.54	0.4%	5	1.3	3.95×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New)weapon · violet	1 in 6,667	$33.75	0.4%	1	1.3	0.79×
Glock-18 \| Brass (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted	1 in 5,263	$26.67	0.4%	4	1.6	2.50×
Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,000	$26.02	0.4%	2	1.7	1.19×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,263	$25.70	0.4%	3	1.6	1.87×
Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 5,000	$24.88	0.4%	0	1.7	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,762	$24.29	0.4%	2	1.8	1.13×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 4,762	$24.12	0.4%	4	1.8	2.26×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 4,545	$24.05	0.4%	5	1.9	2.70×
Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 4,545	$23.87	0.4%	1	1.9	0.54×
Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 4,762	$23.65	0.4%	1	1.8	0.56×
Glock-18 \| Brass (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,545	$23.17	0.4%	0	1.9	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,545	$23.09	0.4%	0	1.9	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 4,348	$22.00	0.4%	3	1.9	1.55×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 4,348	$21.80	0.4%	1	1.9	0.52×
Glock-18 \| Brass (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,167	$21.50	0.4%	2	2.0	0.99×
Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 4,000	$20.52	0.4%	0	2.1	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Reactor (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 4,000	$20.14	0.4%	4	2.1	1.90×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 4,000	$20.01	0.4%	0	2.1	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 3,704	$19.21	0.4%	2	2.3	0.88×
Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 3,704	$18.83	0.4%	1	2.3	0.44×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,571	$18.72	0.4%	1	2.4	0.42×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,704	$18.70	0.4%	5	2.3	2.20×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,571	$17.93	0.4%	1	2.4	0.42×
Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 3,571	$17.80	0.4%	3	2.4	1.27×
Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 3,333	$16.92	0.4%	2	2.5	0.79×
Glock-18 \| Reactor (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,125	$15.88	0.4%	1	2.7	0.37×
Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 3,030	$15.36	0.4%	3	2.8	1.08×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,703	$14.08	0.4%	2	3.1	0.64×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 2,778	$14.06	0.4%	4	3.0	1.32×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 2,778	$14.03	0.4%	0	3.0	0.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 2,632	$13.45	0.4%	7	3.2	2.19×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 2,381	$12.07	0.4%	2	3.5	0.56×
Glock-18 \| Reactor (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 2,326	$11.69	0.4%	7	3.6	1.93×
Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 2,273	$11.45	0.4%	3	3.7	0.81×
Glock-18 \| Reactor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 2,222	$11.42	0.4%	1	3.8	0.26×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 2,222	$11.32	0.4%	2	3.8	0.53×
Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 2,174	$11.24	0.4%	5	3.9	1.29×
Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 2,041	$10.29	0.4%	2	4.1	0.48×
Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 1,961	$10.07	0.4%	5	4.3	1.16×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,887	$9.60	0.4%	6	4.5	1.34×
Glock-18 \| Sand Dune (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,852	$9.50	0.4%	6	4.6	1.32×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,754	$9.07	0.4%	0	4.8	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,724	$8.75	0.4%	6	4.9	1.23×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,667	$8.41	0.4%	6	5.1	1.19×
Glock-18 \| Off World (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,639	$8.41	0.4%	7	5.1	1.36×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,639	$8.28	0.4%	13	5.1	2.53×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,562	$7.94	0.4%	8	5.4	1.48×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,562	$7.89	0.4%	9	5.4	1.67×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,538	$7.83	0.4%	3	5.5	0.55×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,538	$7.81	0.4%	9	5.5	1.64×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,493	$7.64	0.4%	3	5.6	0.53×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,493	$7.57	0.4%	4	5.6	0.71×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,471	$7.51	0.4%	13	5.7	2.27×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,429	$7.33	0.4%	10	5.9	1.69×
Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,429	$7.27	0.4%	5	5.9	0.85×
Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 1,408	$7.16	0.4%	9	6.0	1.50×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 1,389	$7.07	0.4%	10	6.1	1.65×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,370	$6.99	0.4%	9	6.2	1.46×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,370	$6.91	0.4%	6	6.2	0.98×
Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,333	$6.77	0.4%	8	6.3	1.27×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,333	$6.77	0.4%	8	6.3	1.27×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 1,250	$6.42	0.4%	4	6.7	0.59×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,235	$6.26	0.4%	10	6.8	1.46×
Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,176	$5.97	0.4%	9	7.2	1.26×
Glock-18 \| Night (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,136	$5.83	0.4%	10	7.4	1.35×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,136	$5.81	0.4%	5	7.4	0.67×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 1,010	$5.12	0.4%	10	8.3	1.20×
Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 990	$5.03	0.4%	4	8.5	0.47×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 971	$4.93	0.4%	8	8.7	0.92×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 935	$4.74	0.4%	10	9.0	1.11×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 926	$4.71	0.4%	9	9.1	0.99×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 893	$4.57	0.4%	9	9.4	0.95×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 893	$4.52	0.4%	10	9.4	1.06×
Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 877	$4.48	0.4%	5	9.6	0.52×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Rare	1 in 794	$4.02	0.4%	13	10.6	1.22×
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 746	$3.82	0.4%	9	11.3	0.80×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 752	$3.81	0.4%	10	11.2	0.89×
Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 725	$3.69	0.4%	7	11.6	0.60×
Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 714	$3.63	0.4%	16	11.8	1.36×
Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 704	$3.59	0.4%	11	12.0	0.92×
Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec	1 in 690	$3.50	0.4%	12	12.2	0.98×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 662	$3.37	0.4%	8	12.7	0.63×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 654	$3.32	0.4%	20	12.9	1.55×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 641	$3.26	0.4%	14	13.1	1.06×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 633	$3.21	0.4%	11	13.3	0.83×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 562	$2.86	0.4%	15	15.0	1.00×
Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 532	$2.71	0.4%	9	15.8	0.57×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 513	$2.61	0.4%	17	16.4	1.03×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 510	$2.59	0.4%	13	16.5	0.79×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 505	$2.57	0.4%	21	16.7	1.26×
Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 495	$2.52	0.4%	9	17.0	0.53×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 490	$2.50	0.4%	20	17.2	1.16×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted	1 in 476	$2.43	0.4%	17	17.7	0.96×
Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 476	$2.42	0.4%	15	17.7	0.85×
Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 476	$2.42	0.4%	10	17.7	0.56×
Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 463	$2.36	0.4%	15	18.2	0.82×
Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 455	$2.32	0.4%	17	18.5	0.92×
Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 450	$2.30	0.4%	22	18.7	1.18×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 431	$2.20	0.4%	23	19.6	1.18×
Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 427	$2.18	0.4%	21	19.7	1.06×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 418	$2.13	0.4%	16	20.1	0.79×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 410	$2.09	0.4%	25	20.6	1.22×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 383	$1.95	0.4%	22	22.0	1.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 380	$1.94	0.4%	22	22.2	0.99×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 373	$1.90	0.4%	20	22.6	0.89×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 369	$1.88	0.4%	28	22.8	1.23×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 357	$1.82	0.4%	22	23.6	0.93×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 357	$1.82	0.4%	29	23.6	1.23×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 332	$1.69	0.4%	23	25.4	0.91×
Glock-18 \| Night (Field-Tested)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 318	$1.62	0.4%	23	26.5	0.87×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 314	$1.60	0.4%	24	26.8	0.90×
Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 311	$1.58	0.4%	19	27.1	0.70×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 307	$1.56	0.4%	24	27.5	0.87×
Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 302	$1.54	0.4%	16	27.9	0.57×
Glock-18 \| Night (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 299	$1.52	0.4%	19	28.2	0.67×
Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 297	$1.51	0.4%	28	28.4	0.99×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 294	$1.50	0.4%	27	28.7	0.94×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 295	$1.50	0.4%	36	28.6	1.26×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 293	$1.49	0.4%	27	28.7	0.94×
Glock-18 \| Night (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 293	$1.49	0.4%	21	28.7	0.73×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 277	$1.41	0.4%	34	30.4	1.12×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Weasel (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 273	$1.39	0.4%	24	30.9	0.78×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 271	$1.38	0.4%	31	31.1	1.00×
Glock-18 \| Weasel (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 263	$1.34	0.4%	33	32.0	1.03×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 259	$1.32	0.4%	30	32.5	0.92×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 251	$1.28	0.4%	38	33.5	1.13×
Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Minimal Wear)weapon · 1	1 in 249	$1.27	0.4%	32	33.8	0.95×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 202	$1.25	0.5%	36	41.8	0.86×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 194	$1.20	0.5%	30	43.5	0.69×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 193	$1.20	0.5%	35	43.6	0.80×
Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mil Spec	1 in 194	$1.20	0.5%	33	43.5	0.76×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 190	$1.18	0.5%	48	44.3	1.08×
Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 190	$1.18	0.5%	40	44.3	0.90×
Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 190	$1.18	0.5%	41	44.3	0.92×
Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Restricted	1 in 187	$1.16	0.5%	37	45.0	0.82×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 186	$1.15	0.5%	32	45.4	0.70×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 186	$1.15	0.5%	39	45.4	0.86×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 186	$1.15	0.5%	58	45.4	1.28×
Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 182	$1.13	0.5%	52	46.2	1.13×
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 179	$1.11	0.5%	38	47.0	0.81×
Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred)weapon · 1	1 in 176	$1.09	0.5%	46	48.0	0.96×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 174	$1.08	0.5%	47	48.4	0.97×
Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 147	$0.91	0.5%	57	57.4	0.99×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 143	$0.89	0.5%	66	58.8	1.12×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 132	$0.82	0.5%	64	63.8	1.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 118	$0.73	0.5%	78	71.6	1.09×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 118	$0.73	0.5%	53	71.6	0.74×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 116	$0.72	0.5%	91	72.6	1.25×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 114	$0.71	0.5%	81	73.7	1.10×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 115	$0.71	0.5%	76	73.6	1.03×
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Well-Worn)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 113	$0.70	0.5%	79	74.7	1.06×
Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 106	$0.66	0.5%	70	79.1	0.88×
Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 105	$0.65	0.5%	95	80.4	1.18×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 105	$0.65	0.5%	75	80.4	0.93×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 103	$0.64	0.5%	76	81.7	0.93×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 103	$0.64	0.5%	87	81.7	1.07×
Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 100	$0.62	0.5%	86	84.3	1.02×
Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare	1 in 100	$0.62	0.5%	90	84.3	1.07×
Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 89	$0.55	0.5%	81	95.0	0.85×
Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 89	$0.55	0.5%	81	95.0	0.85×
Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 87	$0.54	0.5%	94	96.8	0.97×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 86	$0.53	0.5%	110	98.5	1.12×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 86	$0.53	0.5%	99	98.5	1.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 85	$0.53	0.5%	110	98.6	1.12×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 84	$0.52	0.5%	96	100.6	0.95×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 82	$0.51	0.5%	102	102.5	1.00×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 82	$0.51	0.5%	118	102.5	1.15×
Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 74	$0.46	0.5%	139	113.6	1.22×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 74	$0.46	0.5%	107	113.6	0.94×
Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 73	$0.45	0.5%	115	116.2	0.99×
Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 73	$0.45	0.5%	132	116.2	1.14×
Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 73	$0.45	0.5%	140	116.2	1.21×
Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 73	$0.45	0.5%	151	116.1	1.30×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 71	$0.44	0.5%	127	118.8	1.07×
Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 69	$0.43	0.5%	117	121.5	0.96×
Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 69	$0.43	0.5%	128	121.5	1.05×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 61	$0.38	0.5%	136	137.5	0.99×
Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 60	$0.37	0.5%	166	141.2	1.18×
StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 60	$0.37	0.5%	152	141.3	1.08×
Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 58	$0.36	0.5%	152	145.1	1.05×
Glock-18 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 55	$0.34	0.5%	160	153.7	1.04×
Glock-18 \| Off World (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 55	$0.34	0.5%	150	153.7	0.98×
Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 53	$0.33	0.5%	168	158.4	1.06×
Glock-18 \| High Beam (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 37	$0.23	0.5%	224	227.2	0.99×
Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 37	$0.23	0.5%	232	227.2	1.02×
Glock-18 \| High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blue	1 in 29	$0.18	0.5%	306	290.3	1.05×
Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Grade	1 in 21	$0.13	0.5%	419	402.0	1.04×
Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 19	$0.12	0.5%	405	435.5	0.93×
Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 16	$0.10	0.5%	420	522.6	0.80×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/glock, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New)weapon · covertSiwuSek12 skins.army$1.50$12382.12x2d

Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New)weapon · industrialAzazel$1.50$12381.95x6d

Glock-18 | Groundwater (Factory New)weapon · industrialARDI113$1.26$12397.56x8d

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New)weapon · covertSpooderman$1.50$10670.57x6d

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertReckto$1.50$10368.95x6d

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertgalanodelko$1.50$94.5363.02x4d

Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertheisenberg$1.26$89.5371.06x7d

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertIvo Andonov$1.50$88.7759.18x5d

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertKlanten$1.50$88.1858.79x2d

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertMietla®$1.50$80.7153.81x5d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)weapon · mil specnukr0-$1.50$0.450.30x1m

Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialjordi$1.50$0.120.08x13m

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspecjordi$1.50$2.131.42x13m

Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Well-Worn)weapon · Industrial Gradejordi$1.50$0.130.09x14m

Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialjordi$1.50$0.120.08x14m

Glock-18 | Warhawk (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specMy11sareth$1.50$0.650.43x18m

Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)weapon · MythicalAjan777$1.50$1.901.27x27m

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · mil specAjan777$1.50$0.530.35x28m

Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New)weapon · light blueDave*$1.50$0.180.12x30m

Glock-18 | Moonrise (Battle-Scarred)weapon · RestrictedDave*$1.50$1.160.77x30m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 84.04%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$1.50	84.04%	234
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$1.50	83.98%	234
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$1.50	84.10%	234
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$1.50	84.06%	234
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$1.50	84.08%	234
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$1.50	83.99%	234
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$1.50	84.07%	234
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$1.50	84.10%	234
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$1.50	83.99%	234
3 Nov, 22:52 UTC	$1.50	84.15%	234
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$1.26	83.98%	234
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$1.26	84.07%	234

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 1.0%covert 0.1%classified 0.4%Mythical 1.5%restricted 3.3%industrial 15.1%Covert 0.0%red 0.0%#eb4b4b 0.0%mil spec 24.2%Rare 5.3%Ancient 0.0%pink 0.2%violet 0.8%Restricted 0.8%Legendary 0.2%#d32ee6 0.2%#4b69ff 10.1%milspec 20.8%Uncommon 2.7%Mil Spec Grade 1.9%blue 0.6%Mil Spec 0.6%#8847ff 1.7%Industrial Grade 5.1%light blue 3.4%best hit $123 (82.12x)