Hyper Beast

A case on Hellcase (skin-families), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$8.00

Advertised RTP

87.98%

EV $7.04 from 271 items

Observed RTP, 30d

80.72%

395 openings, odds method

Variance

3.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 11

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

81.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

53 openings · below min

7 days

79.02%±20.59339 openings

30 days

80.72%±19.10395 openings

since tracking started

80.72%±19.10395 openings

46.0%98.3%150.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	53	98.33%±51.5	—	odds
7d	339	79.02%±20.6	−0.9σ	odds
30d	395	80.72%±19.1	−0.7σ	odds
All	395	80.72%±19.1	−0.7σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values271 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 398 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 25,000	$497	0.3%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$343	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$333	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$326	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$284	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$266	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 11,111	$232	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 11,111	$227	0.3%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 11,111	$224	0.3%	0	0.0	—
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$212	0.3%	0	0.0	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$203	0.3%	0	0.0	—
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 9,091	$202	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Corticera (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 9,091	$194	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 9,091	$192	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$181	0.3%	1	0.0	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 8,333	$167	0.3%	0	0.0	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$165	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Corticera (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 7,692	$159	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$156	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$155	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$154	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$152	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$150	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 7,143	$149	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$145	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 6,667	$144	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,143	$143	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 6,250	$137	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$136	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 6,250	$129	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · covert	1 in 5,882	$122	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| B the Monster (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 5,882	$122	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,263	$113	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 5,263	$112	0.3%	1	0.1	—
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 5,263	$111	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 4,762	$102	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 4,545	$93.24	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 4,348	$92.48	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear)weapon · red	1 in 4,348	$91.25	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| B the Monster (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 4,167	$86.98	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 4,000	$85.09	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 4,000	$84.41	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 4,000	$83.24	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear)weapon · red	1 in 4,000	$83.09	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 4,000	$82.33	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,846	$81.97	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,846	$80.93	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,846	$80.52	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient	1 in 3,846	$80.23	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,846	$79.32	0.3%	1	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,846	$79.26	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 3,571	$74.44	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,571	$74.30	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,448	$74.03	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 3,448	$73.36	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,448	$72.89	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,571	$72.59	0.3%	1	0.1	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 3,448	$72.47	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 3,448	$72.24	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,448	$71.12	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested)weapon · rare	1 in 3,333	$70.81	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 3,333	$70.14	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 3,333	$68.85	0.3%	1	0.1	—
FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 3,125	$65.51	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 3,125	$65.41	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 3,125	$65.32	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · Ancient	1 in 3,125	$65.15	0.3%	1	0.1	—
AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 3,030	$64.34	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 3,030	$63.11	0.3%	0	0.1	—
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare	1 in 2,941	$61.30	0.3%	0	0.1	—
AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare	1 in 2,941	$61.21	0.3%	0	0.1	—
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 2,857	$60.68	0.3%	0	0.1	—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,632	$55.16	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert	1 in 2,632	$55.14	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 2,564	$54.72	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,632	$54.34	0.3%	0	0.2	—
P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,564	$53.24	0.3%	0	0.2	—
Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 2,439	$51.97	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,326	$49.13	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,273	$47.35	0.3%	0	0.2	—
AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient	1 in 2,222	$46.45	0.3%	0	0.2	—
G3SG1 \| Flux (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,174	$46.07	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · red	1 in 2,128	$45.53	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,128	$44.23	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,128	$43.87	0.3%	0	0.2	—
P250 \| Undertow (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 2,083	$43.12	0.3%	0	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested)weapon · rare	1 in 2,041	$42.92	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 2,041	$42.72	0.3%	0	0.2	—
AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 2,000	$42.25	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$42.11	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,000	$41.83	0.3%	0	0.2	—
AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red	1 in 1,961	$40.79	0.3%	1	0.2	—
AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 1,923	$40.40	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,923	$40.29	0.3%	0	0.2	—
AUG \| Momentum (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,887	$39.52	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 1,786	$37.83	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,786	$37.37	0.3%	0	0.2	—
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon	1 in 1,786	$37.23	0.3%	0	0.2	—
R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,754	$36.88	0.3%	0	0.2	—
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,667	$35.26	0.3%	0	0.2	—
M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 1,667	$34.64	0.3%	0	0.2	—
Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 1,613	$34.12	0.3%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,613	$34.06	0.3%	1	0.2	—
StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 1,587	$33.50	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,562	$32.70	0.3%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,493	$31.33	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,493	$31.06	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,471	$30.96	0.3%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,449	$30.72	0.3%	0	0.3	—
Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Battle-Scarred)weapon · uncommon	1 in 1,449	$30.68	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,408	$29.92	0.3%	0	0.3	—
Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,408	$29.86	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 1,408	$29.64	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,408	$29.55	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 1,408	$29.16	0.3%	0	0.3	—
Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear)weapon · rare	1 in 1,370	$28.78	0.3%	0	0.3	—
P250 \| Undertow (Field-Tested)weapon · Classified	1 in 1,351	$28.57	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 1,333	$28.11	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,351	$28.09	0.3%	0	0.3	—
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 1,316	$27.68	0.3%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,316	$27.55	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,316	$27.48	0.3%	0	0.3	—
P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,299	$27.27	0.3%	0	0.3	—
AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,266	$26.57	0.3%	0	0.3	—
Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,235	$25.76	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,220	$25.67	0.3%	2	0.3	—
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,205	$25.42	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 1,220	$25.33	0.3%	1	0.3	—
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 1,205	$25.22	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,205	$25.12	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,190	$25.01	0.3%	2	0.3	—
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,176	$24.80	0.3%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,163	$24.40	0.3%	0	0.3	—
Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 1,149	$24.16	0.3%	0	0.3	—
Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Field-Tested)weapon · rare	1 in 1,136	$23.91	0.3%	0	0.4	—
AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 1,136	$23.88	0.3%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,136	$23.72	0.3%	0	0.4	—
Galil AR \| Rainbow Spoon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare	1 in 1,099	$23.13	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 1,064	$22.47	0.3%	0	0.4	—
Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Factory New)weapon · rare	1 in 1,042	$21.74	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,000	$21.00	0.3%	1	0.4	—
UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 1,000	$20.92	0.3%	0	0.4	—
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 990	$20.85	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 980	$20.45	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 971	$20.35	0.3%	0	0.4	—
P2000 \| Corticera (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 971	$20.32	0.3%	0	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Afterimage (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 962	$20.23	0.3%	0	0.4	—
P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 962	$20.14	0.3%	1	0.4	—
FAMAS \| Afterimage (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 935	$19.63	0.3%	0	0.4	—
Nova \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 926	$19.41	0.3%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 893	$18.72	0.3%	2	0.4	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 893	$18.68	0.3%	0	0.4	—
Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 885	$18.59	0.3%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 877	$18.38	0.3%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 855	$17.94	0.3%	1	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 833	$17.46	0.3%	2	0.5	—
StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Flux (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 820	$17.23	0.3%	2	0.5	—
MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New)weapon · Legendary	1 in 820	$17.20	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 800	$16.81	0.3%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 787	$16.41	0.3%	2	0.5	—
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 775	$16.23	0.3%	0	0.5	—
UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 763	$16.00	0.3%	0	0.5	—
AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 752	$15.88	0.3%	1	0.5	—
AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 752	$15.78	0.3%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 746	$15.66	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 730	$15.28	0.3%	0	0.5	—
R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 725	$15.20	0.3%	0	0.5	—
M4A4 \| 龍王 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 719	$15.08	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 714	$14.99	0.3%	1	0.6	—
M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 709	$14.85	0.3%	1	0.6	—
UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 704	$14.82	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 699	$14.74	0.3%	0	0.6	—
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New)weapon · pink	1 in 699	$14.69	0.3%	0	0.6	—
UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 690	$14.47	0.3%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 690	$14.43	0.3%	1	0.6	—
MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 680	$14.21	0.3%	0	0.6	—
Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 671	$14.02	0.3%	0	0.6	—
UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 662	$13.84	0.3%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 654	$13.75	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 654	$13.74	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 654	$13.70	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · pink	1 in 654	$13.69	0.3%	1	0.6	—
Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 637	$13.38	0.3%	2	0.6	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 637	$13.38	0.3%	2	0.6	—
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 629	$13.17	0.3%	0	0.6	—
R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 629	$13.15	0.3%	0	0.6	—
R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 617	$12.96	0.3%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 610	$12.78	0.3%	1	0.7	—
G3SG1 \| Flux (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 610	$12.76	0.3%	1	0.7	—
Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ce6	1 in 610	$12.73	0.3%	1	0.7	—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 602	$12.61	0.3%	1	0.7	—
R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 568	$11.97	0.3%	0	0.7	—
M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 568	$11.94	0.3%	0	0.7	—
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 565	$11.84	0.3%	1	0.7	—
Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 546	$11.49	0.3%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 546	$11.45	0.3%	0	0.7	—
StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 543	$11.38	0.3%	0	0.7	—
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 538	$11.28	0.3%	1	0.7	—
Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon	1 in 535	$11.22	0.3%	1	0.7	—
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 490	$10.30	0.3%	0	0.8	—
Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink	1 in 481	$10.07	0.3%	0	0.8	—
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · violet	1 in 476	$9.99	0.3%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 441	$9.22	0.3%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 437	$9.18	0.3%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 431	$9.04	0.3%	3	0.9	—
AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 417	$8.77	0.3%	2	1.0	—
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 415	$8.71	0.3%	1	1.0	—
MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 415	$8.71	0.3%	0	1.0	—
SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 415	$8.68	0.3%	2	1.0	—
Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 412	$8.63	0.3%	3	1.0	—
MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 410	$8.60	0.3%	1	1.0	—
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 403	$8.45	0.3%	1	1.0	—
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified	1 in 403	$8.45	0.3%	1	1.0	—
StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 400	$8.38	0.3%	0	1.0	—
Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 394	$8.27	0.3%	1	1.0	0.99×
G3SG1 \| Flux (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 394	$8.26	0.3%	0	1.0	0.00×
M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 391	$8.18	0.3%	0	1.0	0.00×
G3SG1 \| Flux (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 385	$8.06	0.3%	2	1.0	1.93×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 380	$7.97	0.3%	1	1.0	0.96×
StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 379	$7.95	0.3%	1	1.1	0.95×
G3SG1 \| Flux (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 376	$7.88	0.3%	0	1.1	0.00×
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 375	$7.87	0.3%	0	1.1	0.00×
MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 358	$7.52	0.3%	2	1.1	1.80×
Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Field-Tested)weapon · pink	1 in 357	$7.49	0.3%	0	1.1	0.00×
AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 348	$7.30	0.3%	0	1.1	0.00×
MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 347	$7.28	0.3%	0	1.1	0.00×
Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 345	$7.22	0.3%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Classified	1 in 342	$7.19	0.3%	0	1.2	0.00×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 341	$7.14	0.3%	1	1.2	0.86×
Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 131	$7.00	0.8%	2	3.0	0.66×
MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 131	$6.95	0.8%	4	3.0	1.31×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 129	$6.88	0.8%	4	3.1	1.30×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 128	$6.84	0.8%	4	3.1	1.29×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 128	$6.82	0.8%	5	3.1	1.61×
StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 128	$6.82	0.8%	3	3.1	0.97×
M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 125	$6.64	0.8%	3	3.2	0.94×
AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 122	$6.52	0.8%	3	3.3	0.92×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 121	$6.45	0.8%	3	3.3	0.91×
StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 117	$6.21	0.8%	2	3.4	0.59×
AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 116	$6.19	0.8%	3	3.4	0.88×
Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 115	$6.12	0.8%	3	3.5	0.87×
MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 114	$6.06	0.8%	5	3.5	1.43×
USP-S \| Royal Guard (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 112	$5.95	0.8%	7	3.6	1.97×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 109	$5.82	0.8%	9	3.6	2.47×
MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 102	$5.41	0.8%	7	3.9	1.79×
MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 102	$5.41	0.8%	4	3.9	1.02×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 101	$5.40	0.8%	3	3.9	0.76×
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 100	$5.34	0.8%	2	4.0	0.50×
Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon	1 in 100	$5.31	0.8%	8	4.0	2.00×
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Classified	1 in 97	$5.18	0.8%	0	4.1	0.00×
Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 97	$5.17	0.8%	11	4.1	2.68×
M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary	1 in 96	$5.09	0.8%	3	4.2	0.72×
M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Well-Worn)weapon · rare	1 in 87	$4.61	0.8%	6	4.6	1.30×
M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested)weapon · Classified	1 in 85	$4.51	0.8%	4	4.7	0.85×
AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 66	$3.49	0.8%	3	6.1	0.49×
AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn)weapon · violet	1 in 64	$3.43	0.8%	4	6.2	0.65×
M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 61	$3.27	0.8%	10	6.5	1.54×
CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 60	$3.19	0.8%	4	6.6	0.60×
USP-S \| Royal Guard (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 59	$3.15	0.8%	10	6.7	1.49×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 53	$2.84	0.8%	7	7.5	0.94×
AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	1 in 53	$2.84	0.8%	6	7.5	0.80×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 49	$2.63	0.8%	8	8.1	0.99×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 48	$2.55	0.8%	4	8.3	0.48×
Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 48	$2.54	0.8%	8	8.3	0.96×
CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 34	$1.80	0.8%	16	11.8	1.36×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 26	$1.41	0.8%	11	15.0	0.73×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 25	$1.34	0.8%	12	15.8	0.76×
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 25	$1.31	0.8%	13	16.2	0.80×
USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon	1 in 14	$0.76	0.8%	37	27.9	1.33×
USP-S \| Royal Guard (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 13	$0.71	0.8%	32	29.9	1.07×
USP-S \| Royal Guard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 12	$0.65	0.8%	34	32.6	1.04×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/hyper-beast, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ffkleofas$8.00$1.310.16x2h

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Melondrama (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classifiedkleofas$8.00$9.041.13x3h

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted13$8.00$1.410.18x3h

USP-S | Royal Guard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted13$8.00$0.650.08x3h

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert13$8.00$18122.58x3h

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ffS_omic$8.00$1.310.16x4h

USP-S | Royal Guard (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restrictedS_omic$8.00$0.650.08x4h

USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New)weapon · MythicalS_omic$8.00$5.950.74x4h

G3SG1 | Flux (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classifiedMalalagueule$8.00$8.061.01x4h

CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedFoltoss$8.00$1.800.23x6h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.98%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$8.00	87.98%	271
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC	$8.00	88.00%	271
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$8.00	87.92%	271
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$8.00	88.05%	271
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$8.00	88.02%	271
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$8.00	88.12%	271
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$8.00	87.98%	271
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$8.00	88.01%	271
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$8.00	88.02%	271
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$8.00	87.98%	271
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$8.00	87.99%	271
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$8.00	88.05%	271

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.8%classified 25.7%rare 1.8%Covert 0.1%Classified 3.3%Ancient 0.1%red 0.1%restricted 26.7%#eb4b4b 0.0%Legendary 3.1%pink 8.8%#d32ee6 2.4%uncommon 8.3%#d32ce6 0.4%Mythical 6.6%violet 3.6%#8847ff 8.0%best hit —