Singular

A case on Hellcase, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$2.00

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

101.76%

243 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

19 openings · below min

7 days

192 openings · below min

30 days

243 openings · below min

since tracking started

243 openings · below min

55.0%115.5%176.0%

Small sample. 243 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	19	115.71%±59.9	—	sample
7d	192	87.69%±11.8	—	sample
30d	243	101.76%±22.1	—	sample
All	243	101.76%±22.1	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogHellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

P250 | Nevermore (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedget1ngen$2.00$1.170.59x54m

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedMara HITANO$2.00$1.690.85x1h

USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedMara HITANO$2.00$0.980.49x1h

AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary_*AL KANJ*_$2.00$10.035.02x2h

USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedBarona$2.00$0.740.37x5h

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedNo name$2.00$1.300.65x6h

AK-47 | Uncharted (Field-Tested)weapon · RareNo name$2.00$0.950.48x6h

USP-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specgB$2.00$1.320.66x9h

USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedJosama Zynladin$2.00$0.980.49x18h

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedgerich$2.00$7.643.82x18h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —