Symphonie

A case on Hellcase (germany-cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.02%
EV $3.52 from 154 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values154 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | Sovereign Flame (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 33,333$6310.5%00.0—
AWP | Sovereign Flame (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 20,000$2720.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 20,000$2670.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 12,500$1940.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 12,500$1840.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 12,500$1680.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 11,111$1680.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 11,111$1650.4%00.0—
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$1630.5%00.0—
AWP | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 11,111$1580.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 11,111$1580.4%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Factory New)knife · sunny1 in 10,000$1530.4%00.0—
AWP | Sovereign Flame (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 10,000$1510.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New)weapon · red1 in 7,692$1210.4%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 7,692$1200.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 7,692$1180.4%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 7,692$1160.4%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Fade (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 7,692$1140.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 7,692$1140.4%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 7,692$1130.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient1 in 7,692$1110.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 7,143$1070.4%00.0—
AWP | Sovereign Flame (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 7,143$1060.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,667$98.920.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 6,667$97.080.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 6,250$93.360.4%00.0—
AWP | Sovereign Flame (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 6,250$93.140.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 6,250$90.220.4%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)knife · sunny1 in 6,250$88.670.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 5,556$86.840.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 5,882$86.720.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,882$85.080.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Fade (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,263$82.770.4%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · sunny1 in 5,556$81.830.4%00.0—
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 5,263$80.510.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,263$80.270.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient1 in 5,263$80.230.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,263$79.310.4%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife1 in 5,263$78.740.4%00.0—
★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife1 in 5,000$76.610.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 5,000$74.340.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Bad Trip (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 4,762$69.050.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Bad Trip (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon1 in 4,348$65.150.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New)weapon · Ancient1 in 4,348$65.150.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 4,167$60.800.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 4,000$59.320.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 4,000$59.130.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 3,846$58.770.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Covert1 in 3,704$55.140.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Bad Trip (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 3,704$54.170.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 3,448$50.770.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 3,333$50.160.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 3,333$49.540.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 3,125$46.450.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · red1 in 3,030$45.530.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 3,030$45.100.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert1 in 2,941$44.860.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,941$44.690.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 2,941$43.870.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert1 in 2,857$42.720.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 2,857$42.520.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 2,778$42.220.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 2,857$41.980.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 2,778$41.550.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee61 in 2,381$35.350.4%00.0—
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 2,273$33.900.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,222$33.750.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,083$30.780.4%00.0—
P90 | Shapewood (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,041$30.430.4%00.0—
SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 2,041$30.260.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,961$29.430.4%00.0—
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,923$29.060.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,887$28.440.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce61 in 1,754$26.190.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,754$26.140.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 1,695$25.090.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,587$23.890.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,389$20.740.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 1,282$19.130.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,282$19.100.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,176$17.420.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Djinn (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee61 in 1,163$17.270.4%00.0—
SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 1,136$17.010.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,136$16.860.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 1,087$16.270.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 1,075$16.200.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,075$16.030.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 1,020$15.240.4%00.0—
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 1,010$15.190.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 1,000$14.940.4%00.0—
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 1,000$14.920.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Djinn (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 980$14.760.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 990$14.710.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 952$14.270.4%00.0—
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 952$14.220.4%00.0—
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 943$14.150.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 901$13.410.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 885$13.270.4%00.0—
P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 885$13.260.4%00.0—
FAMAS | Djinn (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 885$13.220.4%00.0—
P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 885$13.180.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 806$12.070.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 800$11.940.4%00.0—
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 763$11.450.4%00.0—
P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 763$11.390.4%00.0—
SSG 08 | Big Iron (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 752$11.270.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 752$11.220.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 694$10.410.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 690$10.340.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 685$10.210.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Breakthrough (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 685$10.210.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon1 in 680$10.130.4%00.0—
SSG 08 | Big Iron (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee61 in 676$10.110.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 667$10.000.4%00.0—
P90 | Shapewood (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 662$9.910.4%00.0—
SSG 08 | Big Iron (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 662$9.870.4%00.0—
P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee61 in 654$9.790.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 588$8.830.4%00.0—
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Field-Tested)weapon · uncommon1 in 578$8.650.4%00.0—
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 455$6.790.4%00.0—
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon1 in 418$6.240.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 408$6.100.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 351$5.240.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 333$4.990.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 318$4.760.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ AUG | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 296$4.420.4%00.0—
MP7 | Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred)weapon · uncommon1 in 294$4.390.4%00.0—
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 284$4.250.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 244$3.640.4%00.0—
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 55$3.491.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 53$3.361.8%00.0—
AK-47 | Breakthrough (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 46$2.901.8%00.0—
AK-47 | Breakthrough (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 45$2.841.8%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 42$2.661.8%00.0—
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 42$2.661.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 38$2.441.8%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 37$2.351.8%00.0—
Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 36$2.311.8%00.0—
AK-47 | Breakthrough (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 36$2.281.8%00.0—
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 34$2.161.8%00.0—
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 31$1.981.8%00.0—
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 31$1.971.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 29$1.861.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 28$1.781.8%00.0—
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 27$1.751.8%00.0—
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 27$1.711.8%00.0—
M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 23$1.471.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Restricted1 in 23$1.471.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 22$1.411.8%00.0—
StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 22$1.401.8%00.0—
Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 19$1.241.8%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 19$1.191.8%00.0—
P250 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 14$0.901.8%00.0—
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 14$0.881.8%00.0—
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/symphonie, 10 Nov, 21:40 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
10 Nov, 21:40 UTC$4.0088.02%154
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$4.0088.09%154
8 Nov, 06:49 UTC$4.0087.96%154
6 Nov, 17:30 UTC$4.0087.96%154
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC$4.0088.01%154
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC$4.0087.93%154
3 Nov, 02:05 UTC$4.0088.10%154
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 0.3%classified 3.6%sunny 0.0%red 0.3%Covert 0.1%covert knife 0.1%Ancient 0.1%uncommon 4.6%Classified 0.1%#d32ee6 0.4%rare 0.5%#d32ce6 0.1%Legendary 0.1%Mythical 4.8%pink 0.5%restricted 41.1%violet 24.7%Restricted 6.5%#8847ff 12.2%