USP-S Case

A case on Hellcase (devices), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price

$1.50

Advertised RTP

86.21%

EV $1.29 from 185 items

Observed RTP, 30d

75.61%

7,672 openings, odds method

Variance

14.7×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 35

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

88.2%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

84.95%±25.47833 openings

7 days

75.27%±9.106,645 openings

30 days

75.61%±8.467,672 openings

since tracking started

75.61%±8.467,672 openings

59.0%85.0%111.0%

Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 85.23% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (67.16% – 84.07%, 7,672 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	833	84.95%±25.5	+0.0σ	odds
7d	6,645	75.27%±9.10	−2.2σ	odds
30d	7,672	75.61%±8.46	−2.2σ	odds
All	7,672	75.61%±8.46	−2.2σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values185 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,684 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
USP-S \| Target Acquired (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 33,333	$249	0.6%	0	0.2	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 25,000	$205	0.6%	0	0.3	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 25,000	$191	0.6%	0	0.3	—
USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$140	0.5%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$135	0.5%	1	0.4	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 25,000	$133	0.4%	0	0.3	—
USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$132	0.5%	0	0.4	—
USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 25,000	$131	0.4%	0	0.3	—
USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$130	0.5%	0	0.4	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient	1 in 20,000	$128	0.5%	1	0.4	—
USP-S \| Serum (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 20,000	$128	0.5%	0	0.4	—
USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 20,000	$127	0.5%	0	0.4	—
USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New)weapon · Ancient	1 in 20,000	$121	0.5%	1	0.4	—
USP-S \| Business Class (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 16,667	$114	0.5%	1	0.5	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 16,667	$112	0.5%	0	0.5	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b	1 in 16,667	$110	0.5%	0	0.5	—
USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 16,667	$110	0.5%	0	0.5	—
USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 14,286	$96.71	0.5%	0	0.5	—
USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 16,667	$95.31	0.4%	0	0.5	—
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 12,500	$79.39	0.5%	0	0.6	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 11,111	$78.21	0.5%	0	0.7	—
USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 12,500	$73.27	0.5%	1	0.6	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 11,111	$71.39	0.5%	0	0.7	—
USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$67.58	0.5%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 11,111	$66.92	0.5%	0	0.7	—
USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$66.01	0.5%	0	0.8	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 10,000	$62.89	0.5%	2	0.8	—
USP-S \| Road Rash (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 10,000	$59.55	0.5%	0	0.8	—
USP-S \| Orion (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 10,000	$59.07	0.5%	1	0.8	—
USP-S \| Business Class (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 8,333	$53.38	0.5%	0	0.9	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 7,692	$49.67	0.5%	0	1.0	—
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 7,143	$47.41	0.5%	1	1.1	0.93×
USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Factory New)weapon · Restricted	1 in 7,143	$46.94	0.5%	0	1.1	0.00×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 7,143	$46.14	0.5%	0	1.1	0.00×
USP-S \| Para Green (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 7,143	$45.90	0.5%	2	1.1	1.86×
USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 7,143	$44.98	0.5%	2	1.1	1.86×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 6,667	$43.69	0.5%	2	1.2	1.74×
USP-S \| Whiteout (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 6,667	$43.51	0.5%	0	1.2	0.00×
USP-S \| Business Class (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 6,667	$42.73	0.5%	2	1.2	1.74×
USP-S \| Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 6,250	$41.87	0.5%	2	1.2	1.63×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 6,667	$41.83	0.5%	1	1.2	0.87×
USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested)weapon · red	1 in 6,667	$41.82	0.5%	1	1.2	0.87×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 6,250	$40.20	0.5%	2	1.2	1.63×
USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Well-Worn)weapon · Restricted	1 in 5,882	$38.92	0.5%	1	1.3	0.77×
USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn)weapon · red	1 in 5,882	$38.77	0.5%	0	1.3	0.00×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 5,882	$38.12	0.5%	0	1.3	0.00×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 5,882	$37.52	0.5%	1	1.3	0.77×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 5,882	$36.19	0.5%	0	1.3	0.00×
USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 5,556	$35.65	0.5%	0	1.4	0.00×
USP-S \| Road Rash (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,556	$35.59	0.5%	3	1.4	2.17×
USP-S \| Road Rash (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 5,263	$34.87	0.5%	1	1.5	0.68×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 5,556	$34.75	0.5%	1	1.4	0.72×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 5,263	$34.18	0.5%	1	1.5	0.68×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 5,263	$33.76	0.5%	0	1.5	0.00×
USP-S \| Caiman (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 5,263	$33.13	0.5%	2	1.5	1.37×
USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified	1 in 5,000	$32.75	0.5%	0	1.5	0.00×
USP-S \| Caiman (Well-Worn)weapon · classified	1 in 5,000	$32.48	0.5%	1	1.5	0.65×
USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 4,762	$30.72	0.5%	1	1.6	0.62×
USP-S \| Overgrowth (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,348	$27.76	0.5%	2	1.8	1.13×
USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 4,167	$26.85	0.5%	2	1.8	1.08×
USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 4,167	$26.68	0.5%	1	1.8	0.54×
USP-S \| Royal Blue (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 4,167	$26.68	0.5%	3	1.8	1.63×
USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted	1 in 4,167	$26.28	0.5%	0	1.8	0.00×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 4,000	$25.44	0.5%	2	1.9	1.04×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 4,000	$25.30	0.5%	1	1.9	0.52×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn)weapon · pink	1 in 3,846	$25.07	0.5%	2	2.0	1.00×
USP-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 3,704	$23.54	0.5%	2	2.1	0.96×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 3,571	$23.35	0.5%	3	2.2	1.39×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 3,704	$23.14	0.5%	2	2.1	0.96×
USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink	1 in 3,571	$22.64	0.5%	3	2.2	1.39×
USP-S \| Overgrowth (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,571	$22.39	0.5%	1	2.2	0.46×
USP-S \| Overgrowth (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,333	$21.55	0.5%	3	2.3	1.30×
USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 3,226	$21.04	0.5%	2	2.4	0.84×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 3,226	$20.41	0.5%	2	2.4	0.84×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 2,703	$17.35	0.5%	5	2.8	1.76×
USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 2,439	$15.57	0.5%	4	3.2	1.27×
USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 2,381	$15.51	0.5%	4	3.2	1.24×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mythical	1 in 2,174	$13.96	0.5%	1	3.5	0.28×
USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 2,083	$13.32	0.5%	1	3.7	0.27×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,786	$11.56	0.5%	7	4.3	1.63×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,754	$11.26	0.5%	7	4.4	1.60×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,613	$10.34	0.5%	2	4.8	0.42×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,613	$10.29	0.5%	3	4.8	0.63×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,587	$10.22	0.5%	7	4.8	1.45×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary	1 in 1,562	$10.04	0.5%	4	4.9	0.81×
USP-S \| Para Green (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,562	$10.03	0.5%	4	4.9	0.81×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,538	$9.88	0.5%	2	5.0	0.40×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,538	$9.86	0.5%	5	5.0	1.00×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified	1 in 1,515	$9.63	0.5%	2	5.1	0.39×
USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,493	$9.48	0.5%	4	5.1	0.78×
USP-S \| Royal Blue (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,429	$9.17	0.5%	7	5.4	1.30×
USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 1,389	$8.89	0.5%	8	5.5	1.45×
USP-S \| Para Green (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,370	$8.81	0.5%	4	5.6	0.71×
USP-S \| Stainless (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 1,351	$8.66	0.5%	5	5.7	0.88×
USP-S \| Para Green (Well-Worn)weapon · industrial	1 in 1,250	$7.98	0.5%	6	6.1	0.98×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,220	$7.77	0.5%	5	6.3	0.79×
USP-S \| Stainless (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 1,205	$7.67	0.5%	5	6.4	0.78×
USP-S \| Para Green (Field-Tested)weapon · 2	1 in 1,163	$7.46	0.5%	7	6.6	1.06×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,124	$7.23	0.5%	8	6.8	1.17×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,111	$7.13	0.5%	4	6.9	0.58×
USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,111	$7.06	0.5%	7	6.9	1.01×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 1,099	$7.03	0.5%	11	7.0	1.57×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,099	$7.02	0.5%	5	7.0	0.72×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 1,020	$6.54	0.5%	11	7.5	1.46×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 1,000	$6.44	0.5%	10	7.7	1.30×
USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 943	$6.08	0.5%	11	8.1	1.35×
USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 917	$5.90	0.5%	8	8.4	0.96×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 787	$5.06	0.5%	8	9.8	0.82×
USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 781	$5.01	0.5%	8	9.8	0.81×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 769	$4.94	0.5%	6	10.0	0.60×
USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 725	$4.64	0.5%	9	10.6	0.85×
USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 719	$4.61	0.5%	11	10.7	1.03×
USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec	1 in 714	$4.59	0.5%	11	10.8	1.02×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 685	$4.40	0.5%	6	11.2	0.53×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 658	$4.22	0.5%	13	11.7	1.11×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 649	$4.15	0.5%	13	11.8	1.10×
USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn)weapon · Classified	1 in 641	$4.11	0.5%	13	12.0	1.08×
USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 629	$4.03	0.5%	15	12.2	1.23×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 621	$3.98	0.5%	10	12.4	0.81×
USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 610	$3.93	0.5%	16	12.6	1.27×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 588	$3.78	0.5%	22	13.1	1.68×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 575	$3.69	0.5%	14	13.4	1.05×
USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 571	$3.67	0.5%	12	13.4	0.89×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · violet	1 in 562	$3.61	0.5%	12	13.7	0.88×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 559	$3.58	0.5%	12	13.8	0.87×
USP-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 543	$3.48	0.5%	15	14.1	1.06×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 538	$3.44	0.5%	9	14.3	0.63×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 529	$3.40	0.5%	12	14.5	0.83×
USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 518	$3.33	0.5%	12	14.8	0.81×
USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare	1 in 498	$3.18	0.5%	17	15.4	1.10×
USP-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 493	$3.16	0.5%	19	15.6	1.22×
USP-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue	1 in 493	$3.16	0.5%	18	15.6	1.15×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 493	$3.16	0.5%	14	15.6	0.90×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 493	$3.16	0.5%	16	15.6	1.03×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 474	$3.04	0.5%	20	16.2	1.23×
USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 474	$3.04	0.5%	16	16.2	0.99×
USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · blue	1 in 469	$3.01	0.5%	16	16.4	0.98×
USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 431	$2.76	0.5%	18	17.8	1.01×
USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	1 in 398	$2.55	0.5%	18	19.3	0.93×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New)weapon · Restricted	1 in 383	$2.46	0.5%	17	20.1	0.85×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 383	$2.45	0.5%	21	20.1	1.05×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 311	$1.99	0.5%	25	24.7	1.01×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 309	$1.98	0.5%	26	24.9	1.04×
USP-S \| Torque (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 288	$1.85	0.5%	28	26.7	1.05×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec	1 in 275	$1.76	0.5%	26	28.0	0.93×
USP-S \| Check Engine (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 243	$1.56	0.5%	33	31.6	1.04×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 242	$1.55	0.5%	24	31.8	0.75×
USP-S \| Torque (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 218	$1.40	0.5%	35	35.2	0.99×
USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 215	$1.38	0.5%	46	35.7	1.29×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 209	$1.34	0.5%	41	36.7	1.12×
USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 206	$1.32	0.5%	45	37.3	1.21×
USP-S \| Torque (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 206	$1.32	0.5%	40	37.3	1.07×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 125	$1.20	0.7%	52	61.2	0.85×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 119	$1.14	0.7%	56	64.4	0.87×
USP-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 114	$1.09	0.7%	71	67.3	1.05×
USP-S \| Check Engine (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 113	$1.08	0.7%	64	68.0	0.94×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 109	$1.04	0.7%	89	70.6	1.26×
USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 109	$1.04	0.7%	53	70.6	0.75×
USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue	1 in 106	$1.01	0.7%	83	72.7	1.14×
USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 105	$1.00	0.7%	77	73.4	1.05×
USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 103	$0.98	0.7%	69	74.9	0.92×
USP-S \| Torque (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	1 in 99	$0.95	0.7%	75	77.3	0.97×
USP-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 98	$0.94	0.7%	87	78.1	1.11×
USP-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue	1 in 98	$0.94	0.7%	77	78.1	0.99×
StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 90	$0.86	0.7%	91	85.4	1.07×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 83	$0.79	0.7%	98	93.0	1.05×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 82	$0.78	0.7%	92	94.1	0.98×
USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	1 in 80	$0.76	0.7%	98	96.6	1.01×
USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted	1 in 80	$0.76	0.7%	106	96.6	1.10×
USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 77	$0.74	0.7%	77	99.3	0.78×
USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Minimal Wear)weapon · Uncommon	1 in 75	$0.72	0.7%	91	102.0	0.89×
USP-S \| Check Engine (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 71	$0.68	0.7%	104	108.0	0.96×
USP-S \| Check Engine (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 69	$0.66	0.7%	88	111.3	0.79×
USP-S \| Check Engine (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 65	$0.62	0.7%	117	118.5	0.99×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 43	$0.41	0.7%	179	179.1	1.00×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Well-Worn)weapon · 1	1 in 27	$0.26	0.7%	283	282.5	1.00×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 27	$0.26	0.7%	294	282.4	1.04×
USP-S \| Night Ops (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 26	$0.25	0.7%	311	293.8	1.06×
USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Field-Tested)weapon · light blue	1 in 26	$0.25	0.7%	295	293.8	1.00×
USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLight	1 in 25	$0.24	0.7%	300	306.0	0.98×
USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Well-Worn)weapon · blueLight	1 in 24	$0.23	0.7%	313	319.3	0.98×
USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 19	$0.18	0.7%	378	407.9	0.93×
USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 10	$0.10	0.7%	742	734.3	1.01×
USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Well-Worn)weapon · #87c7ff	10.6%	$0.09	0.7%	837	816.0	1.03×
USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial	10.6%	$0.09	0.7%	849	815.9	1.04×

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/usp, 11 Nov, 09:51 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertMateo_0$1.50$13891.84x1d

StatTrak™ USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · AncientJoukov$1.50$13287.87x3d

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New)weapon · AncientBaker$1.50$12985.78x8d

USP-S | Business Class (Factory New)weapon · mil specNined075ravyrar$1.50$11476.15x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · milspecBEURBURRY$1.50$1.981.32x44s

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialBEURBURRY$1.50$0.180.12x44s

USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Factory New)weapon · RestrictedBEURBURRY$1.50$2.461.64x44s

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Well-Worn)weapon · #87c7ffBEURBURRY$1.50$0.090.06x1m

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialBEURBURRY$1.50$0.180.12x1m

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialADi2137 skins.army$1.50$0.180.12x4m

USP-S | Check Engine (Field-Tested)weapon · mil specxxx$1.50$0.680.45x8m

USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blueLightxxx$1.50$0.240.16x8m

USP-S | Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #87c7ffxxx$1.50$0.100.07x8m

StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restrictedxxx$1.50$1.040.69x8m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.21%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 09:51 UTC	$1.50	86.21%	185
10 Nov, 15:35 UTC	$1.50	86.18%	185
10 Nov, 09:02 UTC	$1.50	86.02%	185
9 Nov, 14:13 UTC	$1.50	86.10%	185
8 Nov, 13:32 UTC	$1.50	86.02%	185
7 Nov, 12:18 UTC	$1.50	86.14%	185
6 Nov, 11:25 UTC	$1.50	85.87%	185
5 Nov, 10:45 UTC	$1.50	85.94%	185
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC	$1.50	86.23%	185
4 Nov, 08:59 UTC	$1.50	85.96%	185
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC	$1.50	85.94%	185
2 Nov, 21:49 UTC	$1.50	85.94%	185

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed1 3.7%2 0.1%classified 0.8%covert 0.1%#d32ee6 0.0%Ancient 0.0%mil spec 19.6%#eb4b4b 0.0%restricted 12.6%Rare 1.1%Restricted 0.3%industrial 16.6%Legendary 0.1%red 0.0%milspec 2.2%Mil Spec Grade 0.5%pink 0.1%Mythical 2.2%#4b69ff 1.3%Classified 0.2%#8847ff 0.4%violet 0.4%blue 4.3%Uncommon 1.3%light blue 3.8%blueLight 8.1%#87c7ff 20.2%best hit $138 (91.84x)