Wunder

A case on Hellcase (germany-cases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

Price
$0.50
Advertised RTP
87.83%
EV $0.44 from 145 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
11.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 16
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
88.2%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values145 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 50,000$1190.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 33,333$79.270.5%00.0—
USP-S | Caiman (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 33,333$76.690.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 33,333$59.760.4%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 20,000$50.370.6%00.0—
StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 20,000$46.140.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 20,000$44.360.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 20,000$43.090.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 20,000$40.390.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 16,667$36.020.5%00.0—
USP-S | Caiman (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 14,286$33.130.5%00.0—
AWP | Ice Coaled (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 14,286$33.000.5%00.0—
USP-S | Caiman (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 14,286$32.370.5%00.0—
USP-S | Caiman (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 12,500$26.680.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 11,111$24.250.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 10,000$22.090.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 10,000$21.740.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 9,091$21.130.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 7,692$18.140.5%00.0—
AWP | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 7,692$17.720.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 7,143$15.940.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,250$15.130.6%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 6,250$15.110.6%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 6,667$15.000.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 6,250$14.500.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)weapon · Legendary1 in 6,250$14.170.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,882$13.940.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 5,882$13.510.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 5,882$12.900.5%00.0—
AWP | Duality (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 5,000$11.350.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Legendary1 in 4,762$11.190.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · pink1 in 4,762$10.840.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 4,348$10.070.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear)weapon · Legendary1 in 4,545$10.030.5%00.0—
AWP | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 4,000$9.030.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 3,846$8.750.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 3,704$8.750.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 3,704$8.680.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 3,448$7.900.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 3,448$7.880.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear)weapon · #d32ee61 in 3,226$7.380.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee61 in 3,125$7.330.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 3,226$7.310.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 3,030$7.120.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)weapon · uncommon1 in 3,030$6.820.5%00.0—
AWP | Ice Coaled (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon1 in 2,857$6.720.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 2,941$6.670.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 2,778$6.490.5%00.0—
AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified1 in 2,857$6.460.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 2,778$6.360.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 2,632$6.120.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Tango (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon1 in 2,632$6.080.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce61 in 2,632$6.000.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · pink1 in 2,326$5.320.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Well-Worn)weapon · uncommon1 in 2,326$5.310.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Shinobu (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 2,273$5.170.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 2,041$4.760.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 2,083$4.730.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New)weapon · blue1 in 2,083$4.700.5%00.0—
AWP | Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 2,000$4.570.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · pink1 in 1,961$4.520.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 1,724$3.970.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 1,724$3.950.5%00.0—
AWP | Duality (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 1,667$3.810.5%00.0—
AWP | Duality (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 1,613$3.750.5%00.0—
Nova | Ocular (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 1,587$3.640.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New)weapon · rare1 in 1,587$3.640.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 1,408$3.220.5%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Tango (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 1,316$3.010.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon1 in 1,220$2.780.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff1 in 1,163$2.680.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 1,149$2.630.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 1,136$2.610.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 1,042$2.390.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade1 in 1,020$2.330.5%00.0—
USP-S | Silent Shot (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 1,000$2.300.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 855$1.970.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 826$1.900.5%00.0—
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 781$1.800.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 763$1.750.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 735$1.690.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Tango (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 714$1.640.5%00.0—
Nova | Ocular (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 680$1.560.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 658$1.510.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 602$1.380.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 556$1.270.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 529$1.210.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Electrum (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 518$1.190.5%00.0—
M4A1-S | Electrum (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 515$1.180.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 513$1.180.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 493$1.130.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · restricted1 in 488$1.120.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 485$1.110.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 483$1.110.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Factory New)weapon · milspec1 in 478$1.100.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 476$1.090.5%00.0—
MAC-10 | Light Box (Factory New)weapon · Rare1 in 452$1.040.5%00.0—
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 446$1.020.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 418$0.960.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 415$0.950.5%00.0—
USP-S | Silent Shot (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 410$0.940.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 383$0.880.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 366$0.840.5%00.0—
Nova | Ocular (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 357$0.820.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 357$0.820.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 348$0.800.5%00.0—
AK-47 | Wintergreen (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue1 in 323$0.740.5%00.0—
Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 314$0.720.5%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Tango (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 313$0.720.5%00.0—
Nova | Ocular (Well-Worn)weapon · common1 in 292$0.670.5%00.0—
Nova | Ocular (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff1 in 270$0.620.5%00.0—
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 266$0.610.5%00.0—
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 235$0.540.5%00.0—
Zeus x27 | Tosai (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 235$0.540.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 231$0.530.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn)weapon · violet1 in 209$0.480.5%00.0—
M4A4 | Etch Lord (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 209$0.480.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Tango (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 209$0.480.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Tango (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 209$0.480.5%00.0—
USP-S | Silent Shot (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 205$0.470.5%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Tango (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 196$0.450.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Tango (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec1 in 64$0.431.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · milspec1 in 62$0.421.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare1 in 62$0.421.5%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Tango (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 61$0.411.5%00.0—
R8 Revolver | Tango (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 55$0.371.5%00.0—
USP-S | Silent Shot (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 55$0.371.5%00.0—
USP-S | Silent Shot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Rare1 in 52$0.351.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 47$0.321.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 35$0.241.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 35$0.241.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec1 in 34$0.231.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 34$0.231.5%00.0—
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue1 in 34$0.231.5%00.0—
MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear)weapon · blue1 in 32$0.221.5%00.0—
FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 32$0.221.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 24$0.161.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 22$0.151.5%00.0—
MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare1 in 18$0.121.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 18$0.121.5%00.0—
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff1 in 18$0.121.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 18$0.121.5%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Dark Polymer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 18$0.121.5%00.0—
MAC-10 | Light Box (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 15$0.101.5%00.0—
MAC-10 | Light Box (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 15$0.101.5%00.0—
Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hellcase:api/open/wunder, 10 Nov, 21:40 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
10 Nov, 21:40 UTC$0.5087.83%145
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$0.5088.06%145
8 Nov, 06:49 UTC$0.5087.87%145
6 Nov, 17:30 UTC$0.5088.02%145
4 Nov, 15:04 UTC$0.5087.90%145
3 Nov, 09:43 UTC$0.5088.20%145
3 Nov, 09:08 UTC$0.5088.06%145
3 Nov, 02:05 UTC$0.5088.10%145
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedclassified 0.3%pink 0.5%rare 0.1%Legendary 0.2%uncommon 0.4%violet 3.7%Classified 0.1%Mythical 0.4%#8847ff 2.3%#d32ee6 0.1%#d32ce6 0.0%blue 8.8%#4b69ff 49.3%Mil Spec Grade 0.1%Rare 9.8%restricted 1.3%milspec 20.7%common 0.3%Mil Spec 1.6%