Dont Peek

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$7.63

12.02 HUNT_COIN

Advertised RTP

86.45%

EV $6.60 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d

85.92%

345 openings, odds method

Variance

3.1×

of price², per opening

Tail share

1 in 13

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

80.0%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

28 openings · below min

7 days

94.87%±19.78306 openings

30 days

85.92%±18.63345 openings

since tracking started

85.92%±18.63345 openings

49.5%115.8%182.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	28	115.77%±65.4	—	odds
7d	306	94.87%±19.8	+0.8σ	odds
30d	345	85.92%±18.6	−0.1σ	odds
All	345	85.92%±18.6	−0.1σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 345 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert	1 in 100	$72.92 115 HUNT_COIN	11.1%	3	3.5	0.87×
StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn)StatTrak · weapon · covert	1 in 80	$51.58 81.24 HUNT_COIN	9.8%	4	4.3	0.93×
AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn)weapon · covert	1 in 67	$44.25 69.7 HUNT_COIN	10.1%	8	5.2	1.55×
AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covert	1 in 57	$37.07 58.39 HUNT_COIN	9.8%	6	6.0	0.99×
Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient	1 in 40	$31.61 49.78 HUNT_COIN	12.0%	6	8.6	0.70×
Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet	1 in 20	$25.38 39.98 HUNT_COIN	19.2%	14	17.3	0.81×
AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 14	$19.91 31.36 HUNT_COIN	21.1%	28	24.2	1.16×
AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · blue	10.0%	$0.99 1.56 HUNT_COIN	1.5%	26	34.5	0.75×
AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	15.0%	$0.83 1.31 HUNT_COIN	1.9%	62	51.8	1.20×
AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare	15.0%	$0.55 0.87 HUNT_COIN	1.3%	54	51.8	1.04×
Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted	20.0%	$0.44 0.7 HUNT_COIN	1.3%	70	69.0	1.01×
Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet	20.0%	$0.31 0.49 HUNT_COIN	0.9%	64	69.0	0.93×

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear)weapon · RareLEZAS$7.6312.02 HUNT_COIN$0.831.31 HUNT_COIN0.11x11h

Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$7.6312.02 HUNT_COIN$0.440.7 HUNT_COIN0.06x11h

Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet$7.6312.02 HUNT_COIN$25.3839.98 HUNT_COIN3.33x11h

Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$7.6312.02 HUNT_COIN$0.440.7 HUNT_COIN0.06x11h

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$7.6312.02 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN0.04x11h

AWP | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$7.6312.02 HUNT_COIN$0.550.87 HUNT_COIN0.07x11h

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet$7.6312.02 HUNT_COIN$0.310.49 HUNT_COIN0.04x11h

AWP | Capillary (Minimal Wear)weapon · Rare$7.6312.02 HUNT_COIN$0.550.87 HUNT_COIN0.07x11h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.45%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
3 Nov, 04:27 UTC	$7.63	86.45%	12

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 5.5%Ancient 2.5%violet 25.0%blue 17.0%Rare 30.0%restricted 20.0%best hit —