Price
$4,067.13
6,406 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
86.50%
EV $3,518.07 from 8 items
Observed RTP, 30d
75.89%
6 openings, odds method
Variance
3.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
80.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 6 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 200 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 67 | $25K 39,374 HUNT_COIN | 10.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 40 | $18.8K 29,640 HUNT_COIN | 13.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 40 | $18.5K 29,166 HUNT_COIN | 13.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 25 | $17.1K 26,979 HUNT_COIN | 19.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 22 | $15K 23,625 HUNT_COIN | 19.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| ★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear)gloves · legendary | 1 in 22 | $13.5K 21,218 HUNT_COIN | 17.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| Sticker | Backstabsticker · Rare | 80.0% | $0.22 0.35 HUNT_COIN | 0.0% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$4,0676,406 HUNT_COIN$18.5K29,166 HUNT_COIN4.55x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$4,0676,406 HUNT_COIN$18.5K29,166 HUNT_COIN4.55x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.50%
No data in this window
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4,067 | 86.50% | 8 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 15.5%legendary 4.5%Rare 80.0%best hit $18.5K (4.55x)