10% Webbing Up Like a MF
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$218.31
344 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.67%
EV $193.57 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
19.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 57
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
89.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 400 | $15K 23,625 HUNT_COIN | 19.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 67 | $4,167 6,562 HUNT_COIN | 32.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 67 | $2,332 3,672 HUNT_COIN | 18.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 67 | $1,194 1,881 HUNT_COIN | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary | 1 in 16 | $608 958 HUNT_COIN | 19.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 89.0% | $2.99 4.71 HUNT_COIN | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
No history yet
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $218 | 88.67% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedextraordinary 11.0%restricted 89.0%