Fidget Spinner
A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$24.51
38.61 HUNT_COIN
Advertised RTP
88.66%
EV $21.73 from 6 items
Observed RTP, 30d
50.31%
324 openings, odds method
Variance
25.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 77
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
96.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 324 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 324 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · gold | 1 in 200 | $1,048 1,651 HUNT_COIN | 24.1% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · gold | 1 in 125 | $806 1,269 HUNT_COIN | 29.7% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| ★ Skeleton Knifeknife · covert | 1 in 111 | $687 1,083 HUNT_COIN | 28.5% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| ★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife | 1 in 100 | $329 518 HUNT_COIN | 15.1% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.54× |
| SCAR-20 | Stone Mosaico (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade | 1 in 11 | $6.25 9.85 HUNT_COIN | 2.6% | 27 | 29.2 | 0.93× |
| G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade | 87.8% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT_COIN | 0.1% | 289 | 284.5 | 1.02× |
Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
hunt:api/cases, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · gold$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$8061,269 HUNT_COIN32.86x
Latest dropsnewest first
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer GradeDiabloPhD$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert knife$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$329518 HUNT_COIN13.41x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer GradeDiabloPhD$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Consumer Grade$24.5138.61 HUNT_COIN$0.010.02 HUNT_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.66%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $24.51 | 88.66% | 6 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 1.3%covert 0.9%covert knife 1.0%Consumer Grade 96.8%best hit $806 (32.86x)