TOKEN JOKER
A case on Key-Drop, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Key-Drop's own item price.
Price
$510.43
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
72.27%
234 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 234 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogKey-Drop publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Key-Drop's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3TeNSe^^$511$2,3214.54x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3Bronks$511$2,3214.54x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3Bronks$511$2,3214.54x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3Bronks$511$2,3214.54x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3Bronks$511$2,3214.54x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $2,321 (4.54x)