Abacus

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price

$665.51

951 coins

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

82.58%

178 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

6 openings · below min

7 days

90 openings · below min

30 days

178 openings · below min

since tracking started

178 openings · below min

10.5%84.0%157.5%

Small sample. 178 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	6	84.05%±72.9	—	sample
7d	90	66.89%±19.3	—	sample
30d	178	82.58%±18.9	—	sample
All	178	82.58%±18.9	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covertDameTime619$666951 coins$7,33710,481 coins11.02x8d

★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryEduGambo$666951 coins$4,0055,721 coins6.02x3d

★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$666951 coins$4,0055,721 coins6.02x7d

★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$666951 coins$4,0055,721 coins6.02x8d

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid (Factory New)gloves · legendary$666951 coins$2,0022,860 coins3.01x8d

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$666951 coins$1,7952,565 coins2.70x6d

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)gloves · Extraordinary$666951 coins$1,7952,565 coins2.70x8d

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$666951 coins$1,7942,563 coins2.70x3d

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$666951 coins$1,7942,563 coins2.70x8d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$666951 coins$110157 coins0.16x30m

★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$666951 coins$1,5052,150 coins2.26x30m

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$666951 coins$110157 coins0.16x30m

MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mythical$666951 coins$8.5512.22 coins0.01x30m

Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Covert$666951 coins$580829 coins0.87x30m

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertjoonXO$666951 coins$1,0431,490 coins1.57x30m

MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Mythical$666951 coins$8.5512.22 coins0.01x1d

AK-47 | Jet Set (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$666951 coins$368526 coins0.55x1d

★ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$666951 coins$1,5052,150 coins2.26x1d

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$666951 coins$1,0431,490 coins1.57x1d

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $7,337 (11.02x)