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Broadcast

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2,220.76
3,173 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
84.91%
34 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
34 openings · below min
30 days
34 openings · below min
since tracking started
34 openings · below min
50.0%84.8%119.5%

Small sample. 34 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3484.91%±34.1—sample
30d3484.91%±34.1—sample
All3484.91%±34.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$10.8K15,384 coins4.85x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$6,9299,899 coins3.12x
AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$5,8218,315 coins2.62x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$2,2213,173 coins$3,6145,163 coins1.63x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$2,2213,173 coins$3,6145,163 coins1.63x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$2,5273,610 coins1.14x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$2,5273,610 coins1.14x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$2,5273,610 coins1.14x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$2,5273,610 coins1.14x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$2,5273,610 coins1.14x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$2,2213,173 coins$1,1401,629 coins0.51x
★ Gut Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$2,2213,173 coins$250357 coins0.11x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$10.8K15,384 coins4.85x
★ Gut Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$2,2213,173 coins$250357 coins0.11x
AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$5,8218,315 coins2.62x
★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinarytwitch.tv/MrBarnee$2,2213,173 coins$112160 coins0.05x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$2,2213,173 coins$1,1401,629 coins0.51x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$2,2213,173 coins$1,1401,629 coins0.51x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epic$2,2213,173 coins$1,1401,629 coins0.51x
AWP | The Prince (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$2,2213,173 coins$2,5273,610 coins1.14x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $10.8K (4.85x)