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Iceberg

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$28.75
41.07 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.27%
30.2K openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
123.93%±40.714,261 openings
7 days
99.88%±14.8924.4K openings
30 days
98.27%±13.1130.2K openings
since tracking started
98.27%±13.1130.2K openings
82.5%124.0%165.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4,261123.93%±40.7—sample
7d24.4K99.88%±14.9—sample
30d30.2K98.27%±13.1—sample
All30.2K98.27%±13.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphirerose-2fdbca$28.7541.07 coins$9,76913,955 coins339.8x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$28.7541.07 coins$9,76913,955 coins339.8x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$28.7541.07 coins$9,76913,955 coins339.8x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$28.7541.07 coins$9,65013,785 coins335.7x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$28.7541.07 coins$9,65013,785 coins335.7x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$28.7541.07 coins$9,65013,785 coins335.7x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · SapphireDeffkha$28.7541.07 coins$9,65013,785 coins335.7x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphireramanuks123$28.7541.07 coins$9,65013,785 coins335.7x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$28.7541.07 coins$9,65013,785 coins335.7x
AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$28.7541.07 coins$8,88012,686 coins308.9x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil specJeffJenko$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x
Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$28.7541.07 coins$0.801.14 coins0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,769 (339.8x)