Iced out
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1,332.81
1,904 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.74%
53 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 53 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphiremoef-df7d7d$1,3331,904 coins$6,6649,521 coins5.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$6,6649,521 coins5.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$6,6649,521 coins5.00x
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$1,3331,904 coins$4,8256,893 coins3.62x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$3,8815,544 coins2.91x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$3,8815,544 coins2.91x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · SapphireLobanjica$1,3331,904 coins$3,2764,680 coins2.46x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$2,7153,879 coins2.04x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$2,7153,879 coins2.04x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$2,2283,183 coins1.67x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$409584 coins0.31x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$3,8815,544 coins2.91x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · SapphireLobanjica$1,3331,904 coins$3,2764,680 coins2.46x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$2,2283,183 coins1.67x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$6,6649,521 coins5.00x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire$1,3331,904 coins$610872 coins0.46x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $6,664 (5.00x)