Monogram

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$120.67
172 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.74%
435 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
45 openings · below min
7 days
347 openings · below min
30 days
435 openings · below min
since tracking started
435 openings · below min
33.0%71.8%110.5%

Small sample. 435 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4571.61%±38.2—sample
7d34794.26%±15.7—sample
30d43593.74%±14.1—sample
All43593.74%±14.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$121172 coins$624892 coins5.17x
AWP | Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$121172 coins$624892 coins5.17x
AWP | Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$121172 coins$624892 coins5.17x

Latest dropsnewest first

Baggage Pinpin · blue$121172 coins$0.060.09 coins0.00x
★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$121172 coins$416594 coins3.45x
Baggage Pinpin · blue$121172 coins$0.060.09 coins0.00x
Baggage Pinpin · blue$121172 coins$0.060.09 coins0.00x
Baggage Pinpin · blue$121172 coins$0.060.09 coins0.00x
P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$121172 coins$6.319.01 coins0.05x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $696 (5.76x)