Pointy

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$210.76
301 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
70.10%
89 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
15 openings · below min
7 days
43 openings · below min
30 days
89 openings · below min
since tracking started
89 openings · below min
54.5%98.5%142.5%

Small sample. 89 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1598.52%±43.2—sample
7d4375.37%±19.3—sample
30d8970.10%±14.1—sample
All8970.10%±14.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$211301 coins$605864 coins2.87x
★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$211301 coins$563804 coins2.67x
★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$211301 coins$563804 coins2.67x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · gold$211301 coins$191273 coins0.91x
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700$211301 coins$95.27136 coins0.45x
Sticker | Backstabsticker · Rare$211301 coins$0.270.38 coins0.00x
★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700$211301 coins$95.27136 coins0.45x
★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · gold$211301 coins$191273 coins0.91x
★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · gold$211301 coins$191273 coins0.91x
Sticker | Backstabsticker · Rare$211301 coins$0.270.38 coins0.00x
Sticker | Backstabsticker · Rare$211301 coins$0.270.38 coins0.00x
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$211301 coins$183262 coins0.87x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $625 (2.97x)