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Rock Paper Scissors$157K7.84xOut of the Woods$1,12422.48xMines$73.95277.3xWanted$133198.6xBig Bass Halloween 3$1,16038.67xFat Gamba$13.3K33.33xWanted$3,0523.82xKeno$4,88050.00xCrazy Time A$3,1571.27xThe Luxe H.V.$12K10.00xSpeed Roulette$1,2615.60xSoirée Elite VIP Blackjack$1,4011.98xFree Bet Blackjack Latino 5$1,0002.27xMahjong Ways 2$3,539157.2xDork Unit$38.15114.2xVIP Blackjack 4$4,4432.00xKeno$2,44050.00xSalon Privé Blackjack O$10K2.00xInks & Pints$18.75125.0xVIP Blackjack 1$1,1221.67xAlligators$21.78108.9xCrash$2,0386.83xFruit Party$224161.1xCrash$2,5472.55x

Primitive

A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,219.44
1,742 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
48.90%
40 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
8 openings · below min
30 days
40 openings · below min
since tracking started
40 openings · below min
3.5%38.3%73.0%

Small sample. 40 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d816.24%±12.3—sample
30d4048.90%±23.6—sample
All4048.90%±23.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$1,2191,742 coins$4,8006,857 coins3.94x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$1,2191,742 coins$2,6743,820 coins2.19x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$1,2191,742 coins$1,7352,478 coins1.42x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$1,2191,742 coins$1,7352,478 coins1.42x
★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$1,2191,742 coins$1,4262,037 coins1.17x
★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$1,2191,742 coins$1,4262,037 coins1.17x
★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$1,2191,742 coins$1,4262,037 coins1.17x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$1,2191,742 coins$1,0831,548 coins0.89x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$1,2191,742 coins$1,0831,548 coins0.89x
★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$1,2191,742 coins$8501,215 coins0.70x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,2191,742 coins$70.62101 coins0.06x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2191,742 coins$116166 coins0.10x
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,2191,742 coins$70.62101 coins0.06x
★ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Factory New)knife · covertw1seman$1,2191,742 coins$645921 coins0.53x
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,2191,742 coins$70.62101 coins0.06x
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$1,2191,742 coins$425607 coins0.35x
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,2191,742 coins$70.62101 coins0.06x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covertw1seman$1,2191,742 coins$116166 coins0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,800 (3.94x)