Stellar
A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page.
Price
$707.67
1,011 coins
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
77.43%
152 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 152 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogRain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$9,14213,060 coins12.92x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$5,1427,346 coins7.27x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$3,5655,093 coins5.04x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$3,5655,093 coins5.04x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$3,5655,093 coins5.04x
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$3,1174,452 coins4.40x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$2,8334,048 coins4.00x
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$2,8334,048 coins4.00x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$2,3483,354 coins3.32x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$2,3483,354 coins3.32x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$7081,011 coins$1,6452,350 coins2.32x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $9,142 (12.92x)