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Fantastic

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price
$381.72
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
94.95%
1,795 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
370 openings · below min
7 days
95.66%±4.021,656 openings
30 days
94.95%±3.801,795 openings
since tracking started
94.95%±3.801,795 openings
84.5%92.5%100.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h37092.47%±7.17—sample
7d1,65695.66%±4.02—sample
30d1,79594.95%±3.80—sample
All1,79594.95%±3.80—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogSkin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)weapon · contraband👁$377$4,91513.04x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$358$4,38212.24x
AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$381$3,3668.83x
AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · coverttwitch chocxmiint$380$3,3568.83x
AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertQuick Shark$382$3,3098.67x
AWP | Medusa (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$353$3,1658.96x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1$380$2,7837.33x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1twitch chocxmiint$379$2,7717.30x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1$358$2,4236.77x
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$382$2,1385.60x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$355$3350.94x
★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn)knife · covert➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$355$4461.26x
★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$355$1170.33x
★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$355$3200.90x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$355$94.960.27x
★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested)knife · covert➳𝘽𝙖𝙙.𝘽𝙤𝙮ツ$355$3741.05x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$355$3410.96x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinary$355$94.960.27x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$355$5371.51x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$355$6001.69x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,915 (13.04x)