Glock-18
A case on Skin.club (By type), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.
Price
$1.65
Advertised RTP
92.46%
EV $1.53 from 50 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.57%
98.3K openings, odds method
Variance
9.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 27
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
87.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 98.5K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/glock, 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.46%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $1.65 | 92.46% | 50 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $1.64 | 92.77% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $1.64 | 92.29% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.63 | 92.70% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.64 | 92.23% | 50 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.63 | 92.46% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.63 | 92.36% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $1.63 | 92.69% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $2.20 | 92.30% | 50 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $2.21 | 92.32% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $2.20 | 92.68% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $2.20 | 92.39% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $2.20 | 92.50% | 50 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $2.19 | 92.63% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $2.20 | 92.43% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $2.20 | 92.34% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $2.19 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $2.18 | 92.50% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $2.18 | 92.64% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $2.18 | 92.51% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.18 | 92.68% | 50 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.18 | 92.56% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.18 | 92.53% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.17 | 92.66% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.17 | 92.52% | 50 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $2.18 | 92.32% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $2.17 | 92.62% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 16:30 UTC | $2.17 | 92.71% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $2.17 | 92.43% | 50 |
| 4 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $2.17 | 92.58% | 50 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%Ancient 0.2%restricted 1.7%Mythical 5.7%Covert 0.0%rare 0.5%Legendary 0.6%mil spec 16.2%classified 0.3%violet 5.2%Uncommon 14.2%blue 0.6%industrial 7.7%Rare 36.9%uncommon 2.0%#8847ff 4.0%#4b69ff 4.0%best hit $114 (52.02x)