Knife

A case on Skin.club (By quality), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

Price

$69.89

Advertised RTP

92.50%

EV $64.65 from 167 items

Observed RTP, 30d

92.94%

9,905 openings, odds method

Variance

1.4×

of price², per opening

Tail share

28.5%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

81.5%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

96.99%±6.831,187 openings

7 days

92.86%±2.876,748 openings

30 days

92.94%±2.379,905 openings

since tracking started

92.94%±2.379,905 openings

89.5%97.0%104.5%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	1,187	96.99%±6.83	+1.3σ	odds
7d	6,748	92.86%±2.87	+0.3σ	odds
30d	9,905	92.94%±2.37	+0.4σ	odds
All	9,905	92.94%±2.37	+0.4σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values167 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,911 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby	1 in 10,000	$2,970	0.5%	0	1.0	—
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Emerald	1 in 10,000	$2,141	0.3%	0	1.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$2,119	0.3%	0	1.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3	1 in 10,000	$2,107	0.3%	0	1.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,855	0.3%	1	1.0	—
★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby	1 in 10,000	$1,694	0.3%	1	1.0	—
★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Immortal · Emerald	1 in 10,000	$1,565	0.2%	1	1.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby	1 in 10,000	$1,444	0.2%	0	1.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,396	0.2%	3	1.0	—
★ Skeleton Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire	1 in 10,000	$1,365	0.2%	1	1.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 10,000	$1,343	0.2%	0	1.0	—
★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Immortal · Emerald	1 in 10,000	$1,289	0.2%	3	1.0	—
★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,149	0.2%	2	1.0	—
★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 10,000	$1,093	0.2%	2	1.0	—
★ Nomad Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl	1 in 10,000	$1,083	0.2%	1	1.0	—
★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,073	0.2%	1	1.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,066	0.2%	0	1.0	—
★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$1,028	0.2%	1	1.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1	1 in 10,000	$913	0.1%	1	1.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3	1 in 10,000	$905	0.1%	0	1.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$859	0.1%	1	1.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$850	0.1%	0	1.0	—
★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$843	0.1%	0	1.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$837	0.1%	1	1.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$717	0.1%	1	1.0	—
★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$642	0.1%	2	1.0	—
★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · Immortal · Black Pearl	1 in 10,000	$636	0.1%	2	1.0	—
★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · rare	1 in 10,000	$621	0.1%	3	1.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$603	0.1%	1	1.0	—
★ Karambit \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$587	0.1%	0	1.0	—
★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 10,000	$564	0.1%	1	1.0	—
★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Immortal · Emerald	1 in 10,000	$551	0.1%	0	1.0	—
★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 10,000	$547	0.1%	3	1.0	—
★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · Immortal · Ruby	1 in 10,000	$538	0.1%	2	1.0	—
★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 10,000	$530	0.1%	0	1.0	—
★ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary	1 in 5,000	$480	0.1%	2	2.0	1.01×
★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1	1 in 5,000	$480	0.1%	2	2.0	1.01×
★ Karambit \| Night (Battle-Scarred)knife · Immortal	1 in 5,000	$477	0.1%	1	2.0	0.50×
★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire	1 in 5,000	$474	0.1%	3	2.0	1.51×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · legendary	1 in 5,000	$465	0.1%	0	2.0	0.00×
★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 5,000	$465	0.1%	0	2.0	0.00×
★ M9 Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 5,000	$454	0.1%	1	2.0	0.50×
★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 5,000	$440	0.1%	2	2.0	1.01×
★ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 5,000	$432	0.1%	4	2.0	2.02×
★ Butterfly Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 5,000	$421	0.1%	4	2.0	2.02×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 5,000	$420	0.1%	2	2.0	1.01×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 5,000	$414	0.1%	4	2.0	2.02×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 5,000	$392	0.1%	4	2.0	2.02×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 5,000	$387	0.1%	3	2.0	1.51×
★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · Immortal · Phase 1	1 in 5,000	$380	0.1%	2	2.0	1.01×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 5,000	$363	0.1%	2	2.0	1.01×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 5,000	$350	0.1%	5	2.0	2.52×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 5,000	$348	0.1%	5	2.0	2.52×
★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 3,333	$344	0.2%	3	3.0	1.01×
★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 3,333	$341	0.2%	6	3.0	2.02×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 3,333	$337	0.2%	3	3.0	1.01×
★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 3,333	$330	0.2%	3	3.0	1.01×
★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 3,333	$322	0.1%	6	3.0	2.02×
★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 3,333	$318	0.1%	4	3.0	1.35×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$315	0.2%	4	5.0	0.81×
★ M9 Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$312	0.2%	8	5.0	1.61×
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · Immortal · Phase 3	1 in 2,000	$306	0.2%	3	5.0	0.61×
★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3	1 in 2,000	$303	0.2%	9	5.0	1.82×
★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$300	0.2%	5	5.0	1.01×
★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$297	0.2%	4	5.0	0.81×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · legendary	1 in 2,000	$294	0.2%	7	5.0	1.41×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$287	0.2%	5	5.0	1.01×
★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$284	0.2%	3	5.0	0.61×
★ Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$283	0.2%	6	5.0	1.21×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$281	0.2%	8	5.0	1.61×
★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3	1 in 2,000	$280	0.2%	3	5.0	0.61×
★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$278	0.2%	3	5.0	0.61×
★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$266	0.2%	6	5.0	1.21×
★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 2,000	$264	0.2%	3	5.0	0.61×
★ Paracord Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 2,000	$253	0.2%	8	5.0	1.61×
★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$251	0.2%	4	5.0	0.81×
★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$251	0.2%	10	5.0	2.02×
★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$244	0.2%	7	5.0	1.41×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · Immortal · Sapphire	1 in 2,000	$243	0.2%	7	5.0	1.41×
★ Nomad Knife \| Stained (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 2,000	$231	0.2%	8	5.0	1.61×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,667	$223	0.2%	3	5.9	0.50×
★ Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 1,667	$223	0.2%	6	5.9	1.01×
★ Nomad Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 1,667	$216	0.2%	8	5.9	1.35×
★ Kukri Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,667	$208	0.2%	11	5.9	1.85×
★ Classic Knife \| Stained (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 1,667	$206	0.2%	4	5.9	0.67×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,667	$204	0.2%	13	5.9	2.19×
★ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,667	$203	0.2%	5	5.9	0.84×
★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,667	$203	0.2%	5	5.9	0.84×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · Immortal · Emerald	1 in 1,667	$201	0.2%	6	5.9	1.01×
★ Falchion Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,429	$201	0.2%	8	6.9	1.15×
★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 1,429	$201	0.2%	5	6.9	0.72×
★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,429	$200	0.2%	5	6.9	0.72×
★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,429	$194	0.2%	7	6.9	1.01×
★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,429	$187	0.2%	5	6.9	0.72×
★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal	1 in 1,429	$186	0.2%	8	6.9	1.15×
★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · rare	1 in 1,429	$183	0.2%	8	6.9	1.15×
★ Nomad Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 1,429	$182	0.2%	8	6.9	1.15×
★ Bayonet \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,429	$174	0.2%	6	6.9	0.86×
★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,429	$173	0.2%	5	6.9	0.72×
★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,429	$171	0.2%	7	6.9	1.01×
★ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$169	0.3%	10	9.9	1.01×
★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$167	0.3%	11	9.9	1.11×
★ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 1,000	$166	0.3%	13	9.9	1.31×
★ Flip Knifeknife · covert	1 in 1,000	$166	0.3%	12	9.9	1.21×
★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 1,000	$160	0.2%	8	9.9	0.81×
★ Flip Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 833	$160	0.3%	11	11.9	0.92×
★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 833	$159	0.3%	13	11.9	1.09×
★ Kukri Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 833	$158	0.3%	15	11.9	1.26×
★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 833	$158	0.3%	12	11.9	1.01×
★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3	1 in 833	$156	0.3%	12	11.9	1.01×
★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 833	$151	0.3%	11	11.9	0.92×
★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 833	$150	0.3%	12	11.9	1.01×
★ Ursus Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · rare	1 in 833	$149	0.3%	11	11.9	0.92×
★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 833	$143	0.3%	6	11.9	0.50×
★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 833	$140	0.3%	16	11.9	1.35×
★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · epic	1 in 667	$140	0.3%	11	14.9	0.74×
★ Bayonet \| Night (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 667	$140	0.3%	15	14.9	1.01×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 667	$138	0.3%	9	14.9	0.61×
★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 667	$132	0.3%	14	14.9	0.94×
★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 667	$132	0.3%	14	14.9	0.94×
★ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 667	$129	0.3%	8	14.9	0.54×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 667	$128	0.3%	15	14.9	1.01×
★ Paracord Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · rare	1 in 667	$127	0.3%	6	14.9	0.40×
★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 667	$126	0.3%	19	14.9	1.28×
★ Bayonet \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 667	$124	0.3%	17	14.9	1.14×
★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 667	$124	0.3%	13	14.9	0.87×
★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 500	$124	0.4%	13	19.8	0.66×
★ Survival Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · gold	1 in 500	$123	0.4%	19	19.8	0.96×
★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · Immortal · Phase 3	1 in 500	$123	0.4%	28	19.8	1.41×
★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 500	$121	0.4%	20	19.8	1.01×
★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 500	$121	0.4%	22	19.8	1.11×
★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 500	$120	0.4%	16	19.8	0.81×
★ Navaja Knife \| Stained (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 500	$117	0.4%	21	19.8	1.06×
★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal	1 in 500	$114	0.4%	16	19.8	0.81×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 500	$109	0.3%	15	19.8	0.76×
★ Skeleton Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 500	$106	0.3%	20	19.8	1.01×
★ Bowie Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal	1 in 500	$105	0.3%	16	19.8	0.81×
★ Survival Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · sunny	1 in 500	$103	0.3%	17	19.8	0.86×
★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 200	$94.99	0.7%	76	49.6	1.53×
★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 100	$94.97	1.5%	119	99.1	1.20×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Factory New)knife · Immortal	1 in 100	$88.78	1.4%	84	99.1	0.85×
★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 100	$84.63	1.3%	110	99.1	1.11×
★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 100	$81.97	1.3%	88	99.1	0.89×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 100	$80.81	1.2%	83	99.1	0.84×
★ Classic Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 100	$78.94	1.2%	107	99.1	1.08×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred)knife · Immortal	1 in 100	$72.91	1.1%	94	99.1	0.95×
★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn)knife · Immortal	1 in 100	$71.58	1.1%	87	99.1	0.88×
★ Nomad Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 100	$70.92	1.1%	84	99.1	0.85×
★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 100	$69.21	1.1%	104	99.1	1.05×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)knife · Immortal	1 in 100	$67.99	1.1%	203	99.1	2.05×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 50	$67.67	2.1%	158	198.2	0.80×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert	1 in 50	$67.23	2.1%	169	198.2	0.85×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 50	$55.26	1.7%	217	198.2	1.09×
★ Navaja Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · gold	1 in 50	$51.33	1.6%	304	198.2	1.53×
★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · Immortal	1 in 50	$48.29	1.5%	289	198.2	1.46×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal	1 in 50	$47.95	1.5%	252	198.2	1.27×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Well-Worn)knife · covert	1 in 25	$47.62	2.9%	200	396.4	0.50×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred)knife · Immortal	1 in 17	$46.34	4.3%	596	594.7	1.00×
★ Gut Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 20	$45.77	3.5%	503	495.5	1.02×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 20	$45.74	3.5%	580	495.5	1.17×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear)knife · covert	1 in 17	$45.69	4.2%	523	594.7	0.88×
★ Gut Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 15	$44.29	4.5%	605	644.2	0.94×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · covert	1 in 14	$44.27	4.8%	625	693.8	0.90×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert	1 in 14	$43.97	4.8%	669	693.8	0.96×
★ Navaja Knifeknife · covert	1 in 14	$41.37	4.5%	645	693.8	0.93×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · Covert	1 in 14	$41.32	4.5%	726	693.8	1.05×
★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested)knife · gold	1 in 14	$40.00	4.3%	714	693.8	1.03×

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from skinclub:apiv2/cases/knife, 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Rubyclau <3$70.83$2,97041.93x2d

★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyThinCrustt$70.95$2,97041.86x3d

★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyKurviiy$70.88$2,97041.90x3d

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3Mary Grace Piattos$71.10$2,17530.59x8d

★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldBalaskoni$70.83$2,14230.25x2d

★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldKloonkish$69.98$2,14130.60x1d

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3jonneilia$69.89$2,13130.49x45m

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 3Azure Tracker$70.83$2,11529.85x2d

★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldBELISTREAM$70.96$2,07729.27x6d

★ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · EmeraldMisterHartless$70.88$2,01028.36x3d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Navaja Knifeknife · covertBoRoJa$69.79$41.430.59x10m

★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covertnenetre93$69.79$66.850.96x10m

★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covertTayma$69.89$3304.72x11m

★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · goldJake75614$69.89$2173.11x15m

★ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear)knife · covertTayma$69.89$3314.74x21m

★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covertPUFFCASE$69.79$43.700.63x27m

★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covertPigwa_CS2.ME$69.79$2473.54x27m

★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covertKrippa$69.79$1201.72x27m

★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred)knife · covertSideshow Bob$69.79$43.700.63x27m

★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$69.79$95.081.36x29m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.50%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
11 Nov, 14:43 UTC	$69.89	92.50%	167
11 Nov, 08:39 UTC	$70.15	92.50%	167
11 Nov, 02:35 UTC	$70.37	92.50%	167
10 Nov, 20:31 UTC	$70.20	92.50%	167
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC	$69.98	92.50%	167
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC	$70.23	92.50%	167
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC	$69.94	92.51%	167
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC	$70.02	92.50%	167
9 Nov, 14:11 UTC	$70.49	92.50%	167
9 Nov, 08:07 UTC	$70.62	92.50%	167
9 Nov, 01:54 UTC	$70.83	92.49%	167
8 Nov, 23:40 UTC	$70.98	92.50%	167
8 Nov, 17:36 UTC	$70.84	92.50%	167
8 Nov, 11:31 UTC	$70.94	92.50%	167
8 Nov, 05:27 UTC	$70.95	92.50%	167
7 Nov, 23:23 UTC	$70.88	92.50%	167
7 Nov, 17:19 UTC	$70.90	92.50%	167
7 Nov, 11:15 UTC	$71.15	92.51%	167
7 Nov, 05:10 UTC	$71.09	92.50%	167
6 Nov, 23:06 UTC	$71.15	92.51%	167
6 Nov, 17:02 UTC	$71.11	92.50%	167
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC	$71.06	92.50%	167
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC	$71.07	92.51%	167
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC	$70.90	92.50%	167
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC	$70.80	92.50%	167
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC	$70.70	92.49%	167
5 Nov, 04:38 UTC	$70.96	92.50%	167
4 Nov, 22:34 UTC	$70.89	92.50%	167
4 Nov, 16:30 UTC	$70.89	92.50%	167
4 Nov, 14:12 UTC	$70.92	92.50%	167

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedImmortal 17.3%covert 57.8%rare 0.4%gold 17.0%epic 0.3%legendary 0.1%sunny 0.2%Covert 7.0%best hit $2,970 (41.93x)