Price
$6.68
Advertised RTP
92.47%
EV $6.18 from 39 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.45%
28.1K openings, odds method
Variance
4.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 16
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.2K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
skinclub:apiv2/cases/scfun, 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 92.47%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $6.68 | 92.47% | 39 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $6.68 | 92.48% | 39 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $6.68 | 92.44% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $6.68 | 92.50% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $6.69 | 92.53% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $6.70 | 92.48% | 39 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $6.70 | 92.57% | 39 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $5.99 | 92.52% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $6.02 | 92.55% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $6.03 | 92.51% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $6.05 | 92.54% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $6.05 | 92.53% | 31 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $6.05 | 92.43% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $6.05 | 92.49% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $6.04 | 92.53% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $6.05 | 92.49% | 31 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $6.03 | 92.47% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $6.04 | 92.57% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $6.05 | 92.50% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $6.05 | 92.49% | 31 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $6.03 | 92.44% | 31 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $6.05 | 92.49% | 31 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $6.01 | 92.56% | 31 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $6.04 | 92.45% | 31 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $6.03 | 92.54% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $6.01 | 92.55% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $5.98 | 92.56% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $5.95 | 92.56% | 31 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $5.93 | 92.54% | 31 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $5.94 | 92.53% | 31 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 17.6%covert 2.4%Immortal 0.0%red 0.1%extraordinary 0.2%restricted 11.6%Ancient 0.4%pink 2.6%Mythical 28.4%mil spec 21.9%#8847ff 6.9%Rare 7.8%best hit —