Riches Realm
A case on 500 Casino (500), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is 500 Casino's own item price converted from BUX at the rate on the site page.
Price
$16.63
27,698 BUX
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $14.96 from 7 items
Observed RTP, 30d
99.33%
131 openings, odds method
Variance
26.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
17.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
83.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values7 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 131 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AWP | Gungnir (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 1 in 5,000 | $5,851 9,747,699 BUX | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| Sticker | Lucky (Gold) | Katowice 2019sticker · Extraordinary | 1 in 14 | $80.63 134,329 BUX | 37.6% | 12 | 9.1 | 1.31× |
| MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $41.30 68,805 BUX | 27.6% | 19 | 13.1 | 1.45× |
| Sticker | Lucky 13 (Foil)sticker · Exotic | 15.0% | $13.54 22,557 BUX | 13.6% | 17 | 19.6 | 0.87× |
| StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted | 17.5% | $10.37 17,276 BUX | 12.1% | 15 | 22.9 | 0.65× |
| Sticker | Dirty Moneysticker · High Grade | 25.3% | $0.40 666 BUX | 0.7% | 31 | 33.1 | 0.94× |
| Sticker | God of Fortunesticker · High Grade | 25.3% | $0.35 583 BUX | 0.6% | 37 | 33.1 | 1.12× |
Values are 500 Casino's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
500-casino:cases/list, 12 Nov, 04:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$16.6327,698 BUX$10.3717,276 BUX0.62x
MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Minimal Wear)weapon · restrictedKronerkongen$16.6327,698 BUX$41.3068,805 BUX2.48x
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$16.6327,698 BUX$10.3717,276 BUX0.62x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $16.63 | 90.00% | 7 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.0%Extraordinary 7.0%restricted 27.5%Exotic 15.0%High Grade 50.5%best hit —