10% BOOMBOX JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$189.82
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $166.09 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.83%
142 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
14.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
85.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 166 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/10-boombox-joker, 12 Nov, 02:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $190 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $191 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $191 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $189 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $192 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $192 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 23:35 UTC | $191 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $191 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $188 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $184 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $190 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $191 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $190 | 87.50% | 27 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $192 | 87.50% | 27 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 55.4%sunny 7.1%classified 14.3%Ancient 1.8%blue 7.1%violet 14.3%best hit $1,130 (5.92x)