FLIP KNIVES JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$304.91
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $266.80 from 37 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.25%
113 openings, odds method
Variance
0.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
40.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
54.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 139 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/flip-knives-joker, 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $305 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $313 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $314 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $313 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $316 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $312 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $313 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $315 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $317 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $315 | 87.50% | 37 |
| 4 Nov, 04:46 UTC | $318 | 87.50% | 37 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#ffd700 8.3%sunny 12.5%covert 75.5%Immortal 2.1%Ancient 1.6%best hit $506 (1.59x)