JAHREIN JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$506.09
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $442.83 from 57 items
Observed RTP, 30d
102.24%
492 openings, odds method
Variance
3.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values57 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 497 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/jahrein-joker, 12 Nov, 02:49 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 20:45 UTC | $506 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $510 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $512 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $511 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $512 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $512 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $513 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $513 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $519 | 87.50% | 57 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $521 | 87.50% | 57 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 26.7%Ancient 1.3%#ffd700 4.0%red 9.3%classified 14.3%rare 1.3%pink 15.7%#eb4b4b 1.3%violet 5.3%restricted 5.3%mil spec 1.6%blue 4.8%Classified 2.0%milspec 0.8%Rare 0.8%#8847ff 5.3%best hit $3,155 (6.16x)