REDSTONE JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$1,921.33
Advertised RTP
90.50%
EV $1,738.81 from 49 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.33%
531 openings, odds method
Variance
0.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 537 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/redstone-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $1,921 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $1,929 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 10 Nov, 02:18 UTC | $1,936 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $1,958 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $1,955 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $1,966 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $1,957 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 6 Nov, 10:57 UTC | $1,958 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1,964 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 5 Nov, 04:40 UTC | $1,952 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $1,943 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $1,938 | 90.50% | 49 |
| 2 Nov, 21:41 UTC | $1,946 | 90.50% | 49 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 55.1%contraband 2.6%extraordinary 17.9%sunny 2.6%#ffd700 2.6%epic 2.6%Covert 2.6%rare 2.6%gold 1.3%legendary 2.6%#d32ee6 2.6%pink 5.1%best hit $9,103 (4.65x)