STRATY JOKER
A case on Casehug, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Casehug's own item price.
Price
$144.59
Advertised RTP
87.50%
EV $126.51 from 71 items
Observed RTP, 30d
80.11%
378 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values71 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 382 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Casehug's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
casehug:cases/straty-joker, 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 87.50%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 14:41 UTC | $145 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $146 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 10 Nov, 14:25 UTC | $145 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 9 Nov, 20:14 UTC | $145 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 9 Nov, 14:10 UTC | $144 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 8 Nov, 17:31 UTC | $146 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 7 Nov, 23:20 UTC | $146 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 7 Nov, 17:16 UTC | $146 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 7 Nov, 05:08 UTC | $147 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 6 Nov, 23:04 UTC | $146 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 6 Nov, 17:00 UTC | $147 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $148 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $148 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 4 Nov, 22:36 UTC | $148 | 87.50% | 71 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $147 | 87.50% | 71 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 26.1%gold 6.8%mil spec 7.6%#eb4b4b 1.1%classified 17.7%red 8.0%Covert 3.4%Ancient 4.5%blue 1.5%Legendary 5.0%pink 10.0%#d32ee6 1.8%Classified 1.8%restricted 0.9%violet 3.6%best hit $896 (6.14x)