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Aidens All In

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$76.05
152 coins
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $68.44 from 14 items
Observed RTP, 30d
76.36%
472 openings, odds method
Variance
8.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 23
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
72 openings · below min
7 days
76.21%±41.84190 openings
30 days
76.36%±26.55472 openings
since tracking started
76.36%±26.55472 openings
33.5%113.5%193.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h72124.71%±68.0—odds
7d19076.21%±41.8−0.6σodds
30d47276.36%±26.5−1.0σodds
All47276.36%±26.5−1.0σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 496 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 100,000$9,355 18,710 coins0.1%00.0—
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary1 in 20,000$8,338 16,675 coins0.6%00.0—
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 10,000$4,198 8,395 coins0.6%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 10,000$3,746 7,492 coins0.5%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 1,250$3,377 6,753 coins3.9%00.4—
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 667$1,237 2,473 coins2.7%00.7—
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 333$1,138 2,277 coins5.0%21.51.34×
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire1 in 200$954 1,908 coins7.0%22.50.81×
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 45$885 1,770 coins28.5%910.90.82×
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 100$835 1,669 coins12.2%65.01.21×
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 20$151 302 coins11.0%2024.80.81×
★ Moto Gloves | Polygon (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 33$137 274 coins6.0%1514.91.01×
P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified15.0%$99.37 199 coins21.8%6474.40.86×
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer72.7%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%378360.81.05×
Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from chicken:cases/get-cases, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$76.05152 coins$1,1382,277 coins14.97x
★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire$76.05152 coins$1,1382,277 coins14.97x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphirekvaki$76.05152 coins$9541,908 coins12.55x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire$76.05152 coins$9541,908 coins12.55x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$76.05152 coins$8851,770 coins11.64x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphirekvaki$76.05152 coins$8851,770 coins11.64x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$76.05152 coins$8851,770 coins11.64x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$76.05152 coins$8851,770 coins11.64x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$76.05152 coins$8851,770 coins11.64x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$76.05152 coins$8851,770 coins11.64x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$76.05152 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$76.05152 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$76.05152 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$76.05152 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$76.05152 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$76.05152 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x
P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified$76.05152 coins$99.37199 coins1.31x
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$76.05152 coins$8851,770 coins11.64x
P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New)weapon · classified$76.05152 coins$99.37199 coins1.31x
P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn)weapon · consumer$76.05152 coins<$0.010.01 coins0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:39 UTC$76.0589.99%14
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 3.8%extraordinary 3.0%Covert 0.5%classified 20.0%consumer 72.7%best hit $1,138 (14.97x)