centered-tickets-case-october-07or6percent-1-reversed

A case on Clash.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.86
1.33 gems
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
102.70%
2,300 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
119.61%±50.171,500 openings
30 days
102.70%±35.202,300 openings
since tracking started
102.70%±35.202,300 openings
67.0%118.8%170.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1,500119.61%±50.2—sample
30d2,300102.70%±35.2—sample
All2,300102.70%±35.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogClash.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AUG | Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$0.861.33 gems$151233 gems175.2x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$0.861.33 gems$151233 gems175.2x
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · classified$0.861.33 gems$110170 gems127.5x
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · classified$0.861.33 gems$110170 gems127.5x
★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · knifes$0.861.33 gems$105161 gems121.3x
★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)knife · knifes$0.861.33 gems$105161 gems121.3x

Latest dropsnewest first

SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.861.33 gems$0.030.04 gems0.03x
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.861.33 gems$0.030.04 gems0.03x
Tec-9 | Ossified (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff$0.861.33 gems$2.714.17 gems3.14x
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.861.33 gems$0.030.04 gems0.03x
MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$0.861.33 gems$0.030.04 gems0.03x
SSG 08 | Blue Spruce (Field-Tested)weapon · consumer$0.861.33 gems$0.030.04 gems0.03x
MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$0.861.33 gems$0.030.04 gems0.03x
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$0.861.33 gems$13.1820.27 gems15.24x
MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested)weapon · Common$0.861.33 gems$0.030.04 gems0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $151 (175.2x)