Doppler Radar V2
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$56.04
86.21 gems
Advertised RTP
89.99%
EV $50.43 from 12 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.77%
921 openings, odds method
Variance
10.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 25
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 957 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 17:55 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunnyFarelEnergy skinbet.gg$56.0486.21 gems$1,4342,206 gems25.58x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)knife · sunnygustav.vasa$56.0486.21 gems$1,4342,206 gems25.58x
Latest dropsnewest first
Desert Eagle | Night Heist (Factory New)weapon · mil specLiquidWater$56.0486.21 gems$8.0912.45 gems0.14x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.99%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $56.04 | 89.99% | 12 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 3.0%Covert 1.0%#ffd700 2.0%classified 9.0%violet 5.0%#4b69ff 25.0%mil spec 15.0%Legendary 20.0%blue 20.0%best hit $1,434 (25.58x)