Samz Spaceship
A case on Clash.gg (classic), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$25.45
39.16 gems
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $22.91 from 10 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.95%
711 openings, odds method
Variance
4.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
90.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 711 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $183 281 gems | 79.7% | 73 | 71.1 | 1.03× |
| M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $18.79 28.91 gems | 8.2% | 63 | 71.1 | 0.89× |
| AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $14.12 21.73 gems | 6.2% | 83 | 71.1 | 1.17× |
| MP9 | Airlock (Factory New)weapon · classified | 10.0% | $5.97 9.19 gems | 2.6% | 72 | 71.1 | 1.01× |
| P2000 | Space Race (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $3.93 6.05 gems | 1.7% | 65 | 71.1 | 0.91× |
| PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff | 10.0% | $0.95 1.46 gems | 0.4% | 78 | 71.1 | 1.10× |
| MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Factory New)weapon · restricted | 10.0% | $0.94 1.44 gems | 0.4% | 74 | 71.1 | 1.04× |
| P250 | Supernova (Factory New)weapon · Mythical | 10.0% | $0.85 1.3 gems | 0.4% | 73 | 71.1 | 1.03× |
| Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Factory New)weapon · blue | 10.0% | $0.79 1.21 gems | 0.3% | 68 | 71.1 | 0.96× |
| Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Factory New)weapon · mil spec | 10.0% | $0.13 0.2 gems | 0.1% | 62 | 71.1 | 0.87× |
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $25.45 | 90.00% | 10 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 30.0%restricted 30.0%#8847ff 10.0%Mythical 10.0%blue 10.0%mil spec 10.0%best hit —