Spectrum Case
A case on Clash.gg (cs2), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Clash.gg's own item price converted from Clash gems at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2.12
3.26 gems
Advertised RTP
89.91%
EV $1.91 from 47 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.73%
13.3K openings, odds method
Variance
125.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 192
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
95.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are Clash.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
clash:api/cases/details, 11 Nov, 11:26 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covertpot***uch$2.123.26 gems$1,2951,992 gems611.0x
Latest dropsnewest first
M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New)weapon · restrictedｓｔａｙ ᵀʳⁱᵖᵖʸ$2.123.26 gems$1.592.45 gems0.75x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 01:59 UTC | $2.12 | 89.91% | 47 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedsunny 0.0%covert 0.8%gold 0.0%#ffd700 0.0%covert knife 0.0%Covert 0.0%other 0.0%classified 3.2%restricted 12.8%Mythical 3.2%mil spec 22.8%Mil Spec Grade 11.4%#4b69ff 22.9%milspec 11.4%blue 11.4%best hit $1,511 (713.1x)