High Voltage
A case on CSGOBig, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOBig's own item price converted from csgobig coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$123.00
123 CSGOBIG_COIN
Advertised RTP
90.00%
EV $110.70 from 9 items
Observed RTP, 30d
16.87%
9 openings, odds method
Variance
42.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 100
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
92.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 9 openings and 0.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire | 1 in 200 | $10.6K 10,600 CSGOBIG_COIN | 47.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 200 | $3,800 3,800 CSGOBIG_COIN | 17.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $1,000 1,000 CSGOBIG_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| ★ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert | 1 in 100 | $500 500 CSGOBIG_COIN | 4.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New)weapon · covert | 1 in 20 | $180 180 CSGOBIG_COIN | 8.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| ★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covert | 10.0% | $73.00 73 CSGOBIG_COIN | 6.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert | 15.0% | $27.00 27 CSGOBIG_COIN | 3.7% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.22× |
| M4A4 | The Coalition (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red | 28.0% | $10.00 10 CSGOBIG_COIN | 2.5% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.19× |
| Sticker | Bite Me (Foil)sticker · Legendary | 39.0% | $1.40 1.4 CSGOBIG_COIN | 0.5% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× |
Values are CSGOBig's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
csgobig:api/cases/getDetails?id=335, 11 Nov, 06:29 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Well-Worn)knife · covertBUYhighSELLlow$123123 CSGOBIG_COIN$73.0073 CSGOBIG_COIN0.59x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 90.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $123 | 90.00% | 9 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 33.0%red 28.0%Legendary 39.0%best hit —