Cosmic Boom

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

Price
$62.71
102 coins
Advertised RTP
91.20%
EV $57.19 from 16 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
6.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.0%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 5,000$6,150 10,012 coins2.2%00.0—
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire1 in 2,000$2,891 4,706 coins2.5%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl1 in 714$1,138 1,852 coins2.8%00.0—
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1)knife · covert · Phase 11 in 500$923 1,502 coins3.2%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3)knife · covert · Phase 31 in 81$594 966 coins12.9%00.0—
★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 41 in 133$412 671 coins5.4%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 21 in 100$264 431 coins4.6%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 41 in 18$198 322 coins19.0%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 29$154 250 coins9.4%00.0—
Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 26$135 220 coins9.0%00.0—
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Classified1 in 21$105 170 coins8.8%00.0—
MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 15$92.26 150 coins10.5%00.0—
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · restricted1 in 13$73.81 120 coins9.7%00.0—
Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Field-Tested)weapon · #87c7ff25.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%00.0—
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Battle-Scarred)weapon · blue20.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%00.0—
SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec20.0%<$0.01 0.01 coins0.0%00.0—
Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:38 UTC$62.7191.20%16
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 12.4%classified 3.8%Classified 4.8%mil spec 6.5%restricted 7.5%#87c7ff 25.0%blue 20.0%milspec 20.0%